2024 Pre-Election Political Polls | POLL - Trump would have had 7 point lead over Biden

[nycfan]

 

[SmilingJack]

Great news. Enthusiasm doesn’t cast a vote, but it turns out the vote. Great for Dems.

I've posted this before but my father, the original Smilin' Jack, always would say "The only thing more catchy than enthusiasm is a lack of it!"

 

[CFordUNC]

I've posted this before but my father, the original Smilin' Jack, always would say "The only thing more catchy than enthusiasm is a lack of it!"

SmilingJack Sr. sounds like he was a wise man!

 

[Zoo_View]

McGovern door knocker as well. Mostly upper/middle class Raleigh. Doubt I changed anyone's mind.

ETA I was told it wouldn't do much good to door knock in CH. Thus I honed in on my old Raleigh neighborhoods.

Someone in Chapel Hill created a “Chapel Hill, Massachusetts,” bumpersticker immediately after the election.

Massachusetts and Washington, DC were the only EV’s McGovern won. Nixon won 60.7% of the vote.

 

[donbosco]

me too !

Not only was I excited, I knocked on doors to campaign for McGovern

How naive was I at 18yo ? I actually thought he would beat Nixon and end the war in Viet Nam

I very clearly remembering staying up late and watching the DNC on TV that year. I was pumped and sure McGovern was going to win.

I was 14 but I still should have known better.

 

[aGDevil2k]

Trump is now the odds on favorite to win?

Betting trollsrers

Kamala Harris' election odds slide with bookmakers after CNN interview

Donald Trump is now the favorite to win the presidential election after Kamala Harris and Tim Walz's CNN interview on Thursday, according to one bookmaker.

www.newsweek.com

 

[Bigs23]

Trump is now the odds on favorite to win?

Betting trollsrers

Kamala Harris' election odds slide with bookmakers after CNN interview

Donald Trump is now the favorite to win the presidential election after Kamala Harris and Tim Walz's CNN interview on Thursday, according to one bookmaker.

www.newsweek.com

With 2 bookmakers.

That just means some money came in on trump. I wouldn’t use betting odds to gauge the state of the race.

 

[RockyMtnHoo]

If the CNN interview shifted the odds in Trump’s favor, then I’m not sure what to say. There really wasn’t a “bad” interview response from Harris or Walz…then compare that to any random 10 minutes of Trump anywhere on the campaign trail.

 

[nycfan]

 

[nycfan]

If the CNN interview shifted the odds in Trump’s favor, then I’m not sure what to say. There really wasn’t a “bad” interview response from Harris or Walz…then compare that to any random 10 minutes of Trump anywhere on the campaign trail.

Is there any reason to think it was the interview rather than, say, following the shift in Nate Silver’s model that happened the same day?

 

[nycfan]

 

[nycfan]

 

[lawtig02]

I don’t get this take. First, that lead, if real, is not “slight.” It would likely mean an EC blowout. Second, while the MOE is an important caveat, the fact the lead is relatively stable with polling several weeks apart suggests it’s more likely to be reasonably accurate. Third, if I’m looking at the right things, the lead in that poll is a little higher than it was before the DNC. In short, it seems like Karl is trying to paint this as not meaningful. It looks like a GREAT poll for Kamala to me.

 

[Geisterfahrer]

52-46 is slight?

 

[nycfan]

52-46 is slight?

Slight in that it is an actual lead just outside the margin of error.

 

[Zoo_View]

If Trump was leading 52-46, the mainstream media would call it a big lead and devastating news for the Harris Campaign.

 

[nycfan]

 

[RockyMtnHoo]

Is there still a scheduled VP debate?

 

[nycfan]

What’s weird (in my experience) is I had to actively search for the primary poll results on Twitter — even though I follow quite a few accounts that are publicizing the results.

 

[nycfan]