2024 Pre-Election Political Polls | POLL - Trump would have had 7 point lead over Biden

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ZenMode said:
Nate silver tweeted about the Iowa poll showing Harris ahead. Apparently there was another poll, that came out at basically the same time, showing Trump ahead.

Maybe there are enough Christians disgusted by Trump to give Iowa to Harris.
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That other poll was Emerson showing Trump +10.
 
Yeah, it’s pretty easy to discern. Trump leads among the exact kind of women Mark Cuban was talking about, and Harris leads by a much, much larger margin among all other women.
 
rodoheel said:
Technically it's the non-college-educated white people you should be mad at - they're the most reliable Trump voting bloc. I bet the difference between college-educated white women and non-college-educated white women is is something like 30 points.
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White evangelicals as well. I suspect the college educated women that don't vote for Harris will mostly fall in that group.

Law of unintended consequences at work, I guess. I don't think Bob Jones, Liberty and others of that ilk really wanted to go coed.
 
rodoheel said:
Technically it's the non-college-educated white people you should be mad at - they're the most reliable Trump voting bloc. I bet the difference between college-educated white women and non-college-educated white women is is something like 30 points.
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It will be interesting to see. I sure hope the educated Republican women in Charlotte suburbs show good sense
 
finesse said:
White evangelicals as well. I suspect the college educated women that don't vote for Harris will mostly fall in that group.
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This is my mom. She has a master's degree in genetics but white evangelicalism means she's pulling the lever for the Magic R.
 


“… Nearly 3.8 million people voted in person during three weeks of early voting, including a crush of 292,000 voters on Friday, the final day. Another 242,000 voters have returned absentee ballots to push the swing state over the 4 million mark. …” [rest behind a paywall]
 
HeelYeah2012 said:
Why do you think the election is 50/50 if you thought Harris was crushing it with white women?
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I didn’t think she was “crushing it” with white women. I thought she had a lead among white women. I also knew that Trump was “crushing it” with white males, which is what I thought made it 50/50. I’m actually surprised it’s 50/50 if she has a substantial deficit among white men and a less substantial deficit among white women. After all, white folks make up the majority of voters by a substantial margin.

I’m also surprised that Biden had such a substantial deficit among white women. I’m not sure how he won with such a deficit.
 
mpaer said:
It will be interesting to see. I sure hope the educated Republican women in Charlotte suburbs show good sense
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Most of them haven’t in prior elections…..I’m not expecting much from them in 2024…….college educated Republicans are likely Christo-Nationalists.
 
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