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Me too, but I choose to concentrate on the fact that those three states becoming tossups again gives Harris more paths to victory than a straight sweep of the rust belt trio. In fact, it puts her in a position to pull another electoral landslide if all the chips fall into place like they did for Biden in 2020, even with tight margins.While reading them say Trump is stronger gives me anxiety, it's also good that people not get complacent
Hillary, yes, but which states was Biden polling ahead and lost? The EC wasn’t really that close in 2020.I would go under the assumption Trump will win regardless what the polls say. The polls had Biden leading many states he lost in 2020, same with Hillary.
There is not a single state that Biden was polling ahead (by average) even at this point, and lost. He was not leading in NC or Florida. He won every other swing state.Hillary, yes, but which states was Biden polling ahead and lost? The EC wasn’t really that close in 2020.
I imagine this is also good news for the tight US Senate races in AZ and NV (both Dem seats).
All the transplants to NC and it still goes to Trump. This state outside the Triangle, Triad, Charlotte and the college towns is still backwards.Harris is looking pretty good at this point and probably has a higher ceiling than Trump going into November
Harris leading Trump in latest general election polls by same margin as Biden did after 2020 election
according to latest RCP polls:
Harris +1 in WI Biden won by .63% in 2020
Harris +4 in MI Biden won by 2.8% in 2020
Harris Tied in GA Biden won by .3% in 2020
Trump +1 in PA Biden won by 1.2% in 2020
Trump+2 in NC Trump won by1.3% in 2020
Trump +2 in AZ Biden won by .4% in 2020
Harris +2 in NV Biden won by 1.3% in 2020
Odd assumption.I would go under the assumption Trump will win regardless what the polls say. The polls had Biden leading many states he lost in 2020, same with Hillary.
Honestly, that’s most of the country. Especially the south.All the transplants to NC and it still goes to Trump. This state outside the Triangle, Triad, Charlotte and the college towns is still backwards.
You could say the same thing literally about any other state. California without the coastal metro areas would be heavily pro-Trump. It’s just that 30 million people live in those coastal metro areas.All the transplants to NC and it still goes to Trump. This state outside the Triangle, Triad, Charlotte and the college towns is still backwards.
east of I-95 is MississippiAll the transplants to NC and it still goes to Trump. This state outside the Triangle, Triad, Charlotte and the college towns is still backwards.
Along the Virginia state line between 77 and 95 is Arkansas.east of I-95 is Mississippi
west of I-77 is Alabama
Well and Charlotte is a bank city. Bankers want their tax cuts!In regards to North Carolina you have to also factor in all the voter suppression laws the legislature has passed to prevent 2008 from happening again
So the average was in favor of Trump. Thanks for making our pointThis is what I saw. The final result is always more in favor of the right than the last polls indicated. I could get more states but this took less than a minute
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2020 North Carolina Election: Trump vs. Biden Polls | RealClearPolling
Explore poll data on the 2020 North Carolina Election between Trump and Biden. Gain insights into key trends and electoral dynamics.www.realclearpolling.com
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2020 Ohio Election: Trump vs. Biden Polls | RealClearPolling
Explore poll data on the 2020 Ohio Election between Trump and Biden. Gain insights into key trends and electoral dynamics.www.realclearpolling.com