2024 Pre-Election Political Polls | POLL - Trump would have had 7 point lead over Biden

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I would go under the assumption Trump will win regardless what the polls say. The polls had Biden leading many states he lost in 2020, same with Hillary.
 
While reading them say Trump is stronger gives me anxiety, it's also good that people not get complacent
Me too, but I choose to concentrate on the fact that those three states becoming tossups again gives Harris more paths to victory than a straight sweep of the rust belt trio. In fact, it puts her in a position to pull another electoral landslide if all the chips fall into place like they did for Biden in 2020, even with tight margins.
 
I would go under the assumption Trump will win regardless what the polls say. The polls had Biden leading many states he lost in 2020, same with Hillary.
Hillary, yes, but which states was Biden polling ahead and lost? The EC wasn’t really that close in 2020.
 
Hillary, yes, but which states was Biden polling ahead and lost? The EC wasn’t really that close in 2020.
There is not a single state that Biden was polling ahead (by average) even at this point, and lost. He was not leading in NC or Florida. He won every other swing state.
 
Harris is looking pretty good at this point and probably has a higher ceiling than Trump going into November

Harris leading Trump in latest general election polls by same margin as Biden did after 2020 election

according to latest RCP polls:

Harris +1 in WI Biden won by .63% in 2020
Harris +4 in MI Biden won by 2.8% in 2020
Harris Tied in GA Biden won by .3% in 2020
Trump +1 in PA Biden won by 1.2% in 2020
Trump+2 in NC Trump won by1.3% in 2020
Trump +2 in AZ Biden won by .4% in 2020
Harris +2 in NV Biden won by 1.3% in 2020

ETA: A new poll finding Vice President Kamala Harris leading former President Donald Trump by six points in the upcoming presidential election has shocked political insiders and experts.


The Marquette Law School Poll national survey found Harris preferred by 53 percent of likely voters while Trump was the choice of only 47 percent, according to a Wednesday press release.
 
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Harris is looking pretty good at this point and probably has a higher ceiling than Trump going into November

Harris leading Trump in latest general election polls by same margin as Biden did after 2020 election

according to latest RCP polls:

Harris +1 in WI Biden won by .63% in 2020
Harris +4 in MI Biden won by 2.8% in 2020
Harris Tied in GA Biden won by .3% in 2020
Trump +1 in PA Biden won by 1.2% in 2020
Trump+2 in NC Trump won by1.3% in 2020
Trump +2 in AZ Biden won by .4% in 2020
Harris +2 in NV Biden won by 1.3% in 2020
All the transplants to NC and it still goes to Trump. This state outside the Triangle, Triad, Charlotte and the college towns is still backwards.
 
All the transplants to NC and it still goes to Trump. This state outside the Triangle, Triad, Charlotte and the college towns is still backwards.
You could say the same thing literally about any other state. California without the coastal metro areas would be heavily pro-Trump. It’s just that 30 million people live in those coastal metro areas.
 
Maybe two different countries isn't a bad idea, but the rural Pub areas wouldn't last financially without the urban areas.
 
In regards to North Carolina you have to also factor in all the voter suppression laws the legislature has passed to prevent 2008 from happening again
 
This is what I saw. The final result is always more in favor of the right than the last polls indicated. I could get more states but this took less than a minute


 
In regards to North Carolina you have to also factor in all the voter suppression laws the legislature has passed to prevent 2008 from happening again
Well and Charlotte is a bank city. Bankers want their tax cuts!

That and some of the suburbs go into South Carolina, diluting the Metro influence
 
This is what I saw. The final result is always more in favor of the right than the last polls indicated. I could get more states but this took less than a minute


So the average was in favor of Trump. Thanks for making our point
 
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