2024 Presidential Election | ELECTION DAY 2024

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Calheel said:
Trump has evened it up in the betting markets in the last few days and this is the only possible reason why.

That said, I can’t imagine a Kennedy endorsement actually helps Trump in any material way.
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I can't imagine many are left on the RFK Bandaid Wagon. My guess is that of those who remain, most either 1) won't vote; 2) will write in someone; or 3) choose another third-party candidate. Trump will likely inherit maybe 10% of whatever's left. It's not nothing but it's pretty damn close to nothing.
 
lawtig02 said:
I don’t think that’s the only possible reason why. The betting markets aren’t predicting a winner. They’re setting a line to even out the bets as much as possible. I have no doubt whatsoever that no matter bad things look for Trump objectively, his idiot cultists are FAR more likely to put down their hard-earned money on his chances of victory than are those in the thinking world.
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Oh that makes sense. I never thought about it like that (I dont bet)
 
The fact that wormbrain's announcement has leaked everywhere today takes all the "ohhhh take that" oomph they were trying to do with the timing after the DNC.

Plus, no one was really going to vote for that lunatic. I honestly won't be shocked if this ends up helping Harris.
 
UNCMSinLS said:
I can't imagine many are left on the RFK Bandaid Wagon. My guess is that of those who remain, most either 1) won't vote; 2) will write in someone; or 3) choose another third-party candidate. Trump will likely inherit maybe 10% of whatever's left. It's not nothing but it's pretty damn close to nothing.
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That may be right and I hope it is. My sense of the RFK people is that they're not general/generic malcontents looking to stick it to the man with a protest vote (as were Nader and Jill Stein voters, mostly).

RFK people are more like Ron Paul or Bernie people - more specifically committed to RFK himself and whatever it is he's selling. They're smaller in number than the RP or Bernie people were, but they might still amount to ~1%. Hard to predict if they'll follow their guy to Trump or not, because they're flaky enough people to love RFK in the first place.
 
aGDevil2k said:
I tend to think they likely won't. They have known Trump for 9 years. They didnt want him for various reasons. Harris is new. So it's reasonable to think they give her a look
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Yeah I still think the ONLY reason anyone would vote Kennedy was that they were anti Trump and anti Biden. I guess maybe some people who anti vax is their main issue in life, but I don't see anything else.
 
I think Kennedy dropping out and endorsing Trump does nothing. I'll be shocked if it changes anything.

Harris will win with over 300 electoral votes. I think the map will look very similar to 2020 in the end. Maybe Trump flips Georgia back and possibly Arizona, but that will be about it.
 
EhringhausSouth said:
I think Kennedy dropping out and endorsing Trump does nothing. I'll be shocked if it changes anything.

Harris will win with over 300 electoral votes. I think the map will look very similar to 2020 in the end. Maybe Trump flips Georgia back and possibly Arizona, but that will be about it.
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With the Arizona Senate and abortion races, I think it's blue
 
What a way for the once-mighty and celebrated Kennedy family political dynasty to end - endorsing a right-wing Republican who may very well be the worst POTUS in American history. Both his father and Uncle Jack are probably spinning in their graves at Arlington right now. Cocaine is a helluva drug.
 
Mulberry Heel said:
What a way for the once-mighty and celebrated Kennedy family political dynasty to end - endorsing a right-wing Republican who may very well be the worst POTUS in American history. Both his father and Uncle Jack are probably spinning in their graves at Arlington right now. Cocaine is a helluva drug.
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and MDMA and herion and weed and acid
 
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