2024 Presidential Election | ELECTION DAY 2024

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Turnout is the key, as usual, but maybe even more than usual ...

 


"... Take Pennsylvania, one of the most important swing states, with 19 electoral votes and a margin of victory of only 80,550 votes in the 2020 presidential election. Even a small shift among the state’s roughly 800,000 Polish Americans and more than 100,000 Ukrainian Americans could have a decisive effect.

... Two Democratic activists—former U.S. Rep. Tom Malinowski (who was born in Poland) and Maryland State Sen. James Rosapepe (with whom I worked during the 1992 Clinton presidential campaign)—have established a political action committee named America’s Future Majority Fund. The group runs ads focusing on Russia’s aggression, wrapping its pro-Harris message in Cold War-era realism and mentioning both Reagan and former President John F. Kennedy in an effort to reach centrist and conservative voters.

More recently, Harris campaign ads targeted at Pennsylvania have evoked Polish heroes and focused on the long history of Russian imperialism. The campaign is also supporting a bus tour scheduled for mid-October that will visit Polish and Eastern European communities in the Pennsylvanian towns of Doylestown and Wilkes-Barre. The latter is in Luzerne County, which is the only county in the United States with a plurality of Polish Americans. ..."
 
On Nicole Wallace yesterday they were discussing the NY Times poll and dived down into one question about trustworthiness where Harris has over a 10 point advantage (maybe it was 15?) Anyway comparing it to 2016, Harris and Clinton had similar favorability ratings, but in 2016 Clinton and Trump were rated about the same in trustworthiness. The trust advantage could really help Harris in 2024's election.
What have you done with Eeyore Altmin.
 


"... Take Pennsylvania, one of the most important swing states, with 19 electoral votes and a margin of victory of only 80,550 votes in the 2020 presidential election. Even a small shift among the state’s roughly 800,000 Polish Americans and more than 100,000 Ukrainian Americans could have a decisive effect.

... Two Democratic activists—former U.S. Rep. Tom Malinowski (who was born in Poland) and Maryland State Sen. James Rosapepe (with whom I worked during the 1992 Clinton presidential campaign)—have established a political action committee named America’s Future Majority Fund. The group runs ads focusing on Russia’s aggression, wrapping its pro-Harris message in Cold War-era realism and mentioning both Reagan and former President John F. Kennedy in an effort to reach centrist and conservative voters.

More recently, Harris campaign ads targeted at Pennsylvania have evoked Polish heroes and focused on the long history of Russian imperialism. The campaign is also supporting a bus tour scheduled for mid-October that will visit Polish and Eastern European communities in the Pennsylvanian towns of Doylestown and Wilkes-Barre. The latter is in Luzerne County, which is the only county in the United States with a plurality of Polish Americans. ..."

So the battle will be between Arab liberals in Michigan and Polish conservatives in Pennsylvania? Who does better with these constituencies?
 
Link: Kamala Harris Is Turning a Trump Tactic on Its Head Opinion | Kamala Harris Is Turning a Trump Tactic on Its Head
The above is a really interesting perspective on the differences between male and female politicians in general and between Trump and Harris in particular. It raises the issue of "protection" in a way that I, as a male, never really thought about. It also raises what a narrow path female politicians, like Harris, must walk.

ETA: The author makes the point that men providing protection to women far too often provide a protection racket, as in, pay for my protection or I'm the one you'll need to be protected from.
TRUMP's PROTECTION RACKET APPEAL TO WOMEN ON CUE JUST NOW:

 

Harris Is Said to Have Raised $1 Billion Since Entering Race​

No candidate has ever raised so much money so fast. And it’s more than former President Donald J. Trump has announced raising in all of 2024.
 

Harris Is Said to Have Raised $1 Billion Since Entering Race​

No candidate has ever raised so much money so fast. And it’s more than former President Donald J. Trump has announced raising in all of 2024.
Let's hope it's enough.

Nervous Ted Striker GIF by filmeditor
 
So the battle will be between Arab liberals in Michigan and Polish conservatives in Pennsylvania? Who does better with these constituencies?
My only hope is the polish Union workers in Penn or Wisc get it that Trump hates Unions-cause they like a lot of his other shit
 

Trump Pledges to End ‘Double Taxation’ of Americans Abroad​

The idea is the latest from the GOP nominee that goes beyond extending the 2017 tax law​


“… The U.S. has an unusual system for taxing its citizens on their total income regardless of where they earned it and where they live, making America alone among major countries with such a rule. Other countries use systems that base taxation on where people live. The U.S. policy dates back to the 1860s and the income tax created to finance the Civil War.


Essentially, an American living in Paris would have tax obligations to both France and the U.S., though the U.S. tax code already contains features meant to mitigate double taxation. A French citizen residing in New York typically wouldn’t owe France any taxes on U.S. income.

“I support ending the double taxation of overseas Americans,” Trump said in a statement to The Wall Street Journal.

Like his prior campaign ideas to eliminate taxes on tips, Social Security benefits and overtime pay, Trump’s latest tax-policy promise goes beyond extension of his expiring 2017 tax cuts and the ideas he pushed during his first term as president, and it is aimed at a targeted demographic.

A narrow policy shift could eliminate a frustrating and unique burden for Americans abroad, especially those with higher incomes and investments who owe U.S. taxes on their worldwide income on top of taxes they pay where they live. That can be particularly annoying for so-called accidental Americans, who have citizenship because they were born in the U.S. but have few ties to the country. …”


So kids of Russian Oligarchs born in the U.S. as a result of citizenship tourism solely to obtain that citizenship wouldn’t be “annoyed” by paying US taxes as the pursue their international oligarch ventures? Cool. OTOH, they could renounce their “accidental” US citizenship if it is so annoying.
 
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