2024 Presidential Election | ELECTION DAY 2024

  • Thread starter Thread starter nycfan
  • Start date Start date
  • Replies: 8K
  • Views: 207K
  • Politics 


“… North Carolina’s rural counties have also undergone the national dynamic of a Republican realignment, but the rural areas are not the most Republican region of the state. This is due to the influence of majority-minority counties in the eastern part of the state, part of the South’s historic “Black Belt” line of counties with large populations of Black voters. The most Republican region of the state would be the surrounding suburban counties to the urban counties: they are typically 65-35 Republican, whereas rural counties combined are 60-40 Republican.

… for Democrats to win statewide in North Carolina, they must follow a couple of specific Tar Heel politics rules. First, generate critical turnout rates among their core voters, namely Black voters. In the past few elections, registered Black voters in North Carolina have seen a lower-than-statewide average turnout rate, while White voters are above the state’s turnout rate. Registered Democrats typically meet the state-turnout rate, but it doesn’t help when their opposition (registered Republicans) have a five-to-six point advantage in their turnout rates.

A generational dynamic is clearly at play in North Carolina: in 2020, the turnout for registered Boomers in the state was 86 percent, while among Millennials it was 62 percent and Generation Z saw a turnout rate of 61 percent. [ What about Gen-X?]

Finally, North Carolina doesn’t have a centralized “Atlanta-metro” dynamic when it comes to vote share, with the major urban areas spread across the Piedmont of the state. …”
 
nycfan said:


“… North Carolina’s rural counties have also undergone the national dynamic of a Republican realignment, but the rural areas are not the most Republican region of the state. This is due to the influence of majority-minority counties in the eastern part of the state, part of the South’s historic “Black Belt” line of counties with large populations of Black voters. The most Republican region of the state would be the surrounding suburban counties to the urban counties: they are typically 65-35 Republican, whereas rural counties combined are 60-40 Republican.

… for Democrats to win statewide in North Carolina, they must follow a couple of specific Tar Heel politics rules. First, generate critical turnout rates among their core voters, namely Black voters. In the past few elections, registered Black voters in North Carolina have seen a lower-than-statewide average turnout rate, while White voters are above the state’s turnout rate. Registered Democrats typically meet the state-turnout rate, but it doesn’t help when their opposition (registered Republicans) have a five-to-six point advantage in their turnout rates.

A generational dynamic is clearly at play in North Carolina: in 2020, the turnout for registered Boomers in the state was 86 percent, while among Millennials it was 62 percent and Generation Z saw a turnout rate of 61 percent. [ What about Gen-X?]

Finally, North Carolina doesn’t have a centralized “Atlanta-metro” dynamic when it comes to vote share, with the major urban areas spread across the Piedmont of the state. …”
Click to expand...

My dream Durham couthy is delayed They to deliver a 11,000 vote plurality for Harris They deliver 11,100
 
politicalwire.com

Trump Is Convinced He’ll Win

Tara Palmeri: "Despite the endless and voluminous and ubiquitous polling suggesting that we are careening toward a historically tight election, Donald Trump can only see an outcome in which he wins. Inside Mar-a-Lago, I’ve heard that Trump is uncharacteristically buoyant, almost cavalier, convince
politicalwire.com politicalwire.com

“… the only thing that the former president believes could cause him to fail, I’ve been told, is if the Republican National Committee election integrity unit—which includes at least one 2020 election denier—fails him…”
 


Apparently, this is how Musk is collecting names and contact info for his hyped turnout apparatus — edging right up to the line of buying votes.
 
nycfan said:


“… North Carolina’s rural counties have also undergone the national dynamic of a Republican realignment, but the rural areas are not the most Republican region of the state. This is due to the influence of majority-minority counties in the eastern part of the state, part of the South’s historic “Black Belt” line of counties with large populations of Black voters. The most Republican region of the state would be the surrounding suburban counties to the urban counties: they are typically 65-35 Republican, whereas rural counties combined are 60-40 Republican.

… for Democrats to win statewide in North Carolina, they must follow a couple of specific Tar Heel politics rules. First, generate critical turnout rates among their core voters, namely Black voters. In the past few elections, registered Black voters in North Carolina have seen a lower-than-statewide average turnout rate, while White voters are above the state’s turnout rate. Registered Democrats typically meet the state-turnout rate, but it doesn’t help when their opposition (registered Republicans) have a five-to-six point advantage in their turnout rates.

A generational dynamic is clearly at play in North Carolina: in 2020, the turnout for registered Boomers in the state was 86 percent, while among Millennials it was 62 percent and Generation Z saw a turnout rate of 61 percent. [ What about Gen-X?]

Finally, North Carolina doesn’t have a centralized “Atlanta-metro” dynamic when it comes to vote share, with the major urban areas spread across the Piedmont of the state. …”
Click to expand...

Well given what I've seen in polls, my fellow Xers, especially you old Xers, can stay the hell home
 
nycfan said:


Apparently, this is how Musk is collecting names and contact info for his hyped turnout apparatus — edging right up to the line of buying votes.
Click to expand...

Not gonna lie, I'll make an easy $1000+ doing this with conservative family members in PA if it's legit
 
Some friends of mine and I were discussing the possibility that Harris winning might even be best for Republicans going forward for a couple reasons. #1, if Trump wins, there is no way a Republican wins again in 2028 and #2, looking at the ages of the SCOTUS justices that are on the conservative side, like Alito and Thomas, they might could make it through a Harris 4 years, but likely not a 4 year Trump term plus one or two Democratic terms subsequently. Now, I suppose if Trump wins, they could retire, but I don't think they will. And additionally, Harris winning also maybe gets the Republicans to at least think about returning to some sense of normalcy. I don't know, but Harris winning, could be best in the short term and long term for the Republican party. Also, a decent Republican party plus a decent Democratic party, probably makes everyone better off when there are better choices for candidates more often all over the ballot. Time will tell I guess.
 
EhringhausSouth said:
Some friends of mine and I were discussing the possibility that Harris winning might even be best for Republicans going forward for a couple reasons. #1, if Trump wins, there is no way a Republican wins again in 2028 and #2, looking at the ages of the SCOTUS justices that are on the conservative side, like Alito and Thomas, they might could make it through a Harris 4 years, but likely not a 4 year Trump term plus one or two Democratic terms subsequently. Now, I suppose if Trump wins, they could retire, but I don't think they will. And additionally, Harris winning also maybe gets the Republicans to at least think about returning to some sense of normalcy. I don't know, but Harris winning, could be best in the short term and long term for the Republican party. Also, a decent Republican party plus a decent Democratic party, probably makes everyone better off when there are better choices for candidates more often all over the ballot. Time will tell I guess.
Click to expand...
Thomas and Alito will almost certainly retire if Trump is reelected.

The conservative justices understand how to wield power, unlike the liberals. Crazy that Sotomayor didn’t step down under Biden tbh.
 
Illithor said:
Not gonna lie, I'll make an easy $1000+ doing this with conservative family members in PA if it's legit
Click to expand...

Haha, for the right price, I'd probably let someone tell me what to put on my ballot. Give me the cash/money order up front and watch me fill in the dots.
 






But Harris also has many Billionaire donors, with Mark Cuban and Michael Bloomberg among the most well known (Bloomberg seems to be by far the top donor to PACs supporting the Democratic nominee).
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top