2024 Presidential Election | ELECTION DAY 2024

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Like how he correctly pronounces Quebec "Ke-beck" and not "Kwe-beck".

JD, your Ivy League is showing. Consider your audience - might want to dumb it down some...
It's like a stand-up routine on late night without the timing or persona to pull it off. Dude is completely stale.
 
I just hate the political discourse in our country now. The Romney/Obama debate stage was what you expect from Presidential candidates.
 
Unless some dramatic shift occurs Trump is toast.
I tend to agree, but we did just see two dramatic events happen in four days, and three in less than a month. The odds are high we’ll have a few more before early November. But the momentum is very much in Kamala’s favor, and that’s a MUCH better place to be in early August.
 
Unless some dramatic shift occurs Trump is toast.
Yeah, nah. Our world turns over the media narrative every few days. Ttump plowed through “they’re rapists”, “grab’em by the pussy”, “blood coming out of …”, etc.

Now, I believe he really hurt his potential to shear off a percent or two of the black male vote, and likely just further mobilized several minority communities, but “toast” is far too optimistic in a world where October surprises seemingly occur every few weeks.
 
There is a stark contrast between Harris' positive energy, her joy, her hope for the future and Trump's unrelenting pessimism, dourness, and hellish language when describing America. It has been there all along, of course, but the past few days have highlighted this more and more.

People should remember that fear leads to the dark side.
 
Trump’s campaign manager to his critics:



But he should have turned off the comments — a lot of MAGA faithful are pretty mad at him right now, apparently…
 
Trump’s campaign manager to his critics:



But he should have turned off the comments — a lot of MAGA faithful are pretty mad at him right now, apparently…

Typical MAGA bluster and macho behavior, but in truth his response is just more evidence of how badly he has managed Trump's campaign to this point. They lucked into Biden's first debate disaster, and pretty much everything the Trump campaign has done since then - the RNC Convention and Trump's rambling, terrible acceptance speech, picking Vance for veep, the disastrous interview with black journalists, having done no preparation in case Biden dropped out - has backfired. There's still a long way to go until November, but so far this dude might as well be giving the finger to his candidate and the rest of his campaign staff given how inept he's been since Biden dropped out.
 

Vice President Kamala Harris’s campaign survived a brutal few weeks of fund-raising in July to bounce back so dramatically before the end of the month that she more than doubled the amount of money raised by former President Donald J. Trump, her campaign announced on Friday.

The Harris campaign, which for the first 20 days of July was the Biden campaign, said it had raised $310 million during the month, including $200 million in just seven days after President Biden dropped out of the race.

The Trump campaign and its own allies said on Thursday that they had collected $139 million in July, an enormous sum but well short of what the Harris campaign said it had brought in amid a huge burst of enthusiasm about her candidacy. The Harris campaign raised almost as much in July as the Biden campaign had raised in March, April, May and June combined.

The surge in fund-raising has allowed Democrats, for the first time in months, to have a cash-on-hand advantage over Republicans. The Harris campaign said it now had $377 million in its war chest, in contrast to the $327 million that the Trump campaign has said it has.

Neither campaign disclosed precisely how much of the money was raised or held by the campaigns themselves versus their allied party committees.
 
We are about to reach the point where the sugar high of Harris becoming the nominee wears off, which makes it a good time to pick a VP.

But there is no perfect VP choice who won’t irritate some portion of the Dem coalition and from there the real slog of the election begins.

With the VP pick and the Dem convention still to come, maybe the Harris campaign can keep their roll going until as late as Labor Day, but in the news cyclone era we find ourselves in, that seems unlikely.

It can feel like Harris is winning thanks to her momentum but really she has reset the game to a back and forth 1-point nail biter, not taken some sort of commanding lead. The press will start pressing her for interviews and policy positions soon and she has to be ready for that.
 
The GOP has a large Electoral College advantage over the Democrats.

Harris could win the popular vote by 6-7 points and still lose the Electoral College.
That would be almost impossible. She could win by 4-5 points and lose the electoral college, but MI, PA and Wisc are too closely correlated to the national average to support a 6-7 point delta.
 
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