2024 Presidential Election | ELECTION DAY 2024

[nycfan]

 

[nycfan]

 

[superrific]

Article is from June. Also, the idea that black men would identify with Trump because of RICO seems odd.

 

[nycfan]

 

[Rock]

"Really low club head speed"... I mean what can you even say.

 

[nycfan]

 

[hedge]

Sleepwalking Our Way to Fascism​

A reference to Slouching Towards Bethlehem??

 

[nycfan]

Sleepwalking Our Way to Fascism​

A reference to Slouching Towards Bethlehem??

The best lack all conviction, while the worst
Are full of passionate intensity.

 

[1moretimeagain]

Debuting some new anecdotes.

 

[Wolfslayer]

With all the garbage political mail the past few weeks, I actually received something very useful today. It is from NC State Board of Elections with info about the statewide judicial candidates.

For those yet to receive it, or tossed it out, I found some very shocking stats in the last few pages. NC has more than 7.6 million registered voters. Here is the breakdown that was very surprising to me.

31.6% registered Dems
29.9% registered Pubs
37.6% unaffiliated.

Now I've been unaffiliated for 5 years now after the Pub party died and sold out to the fraud mad man. And I am sure there are plenty of young people that don't know enough to pick a party, as well as low info and rare voters.

But there is NO WAY that almostv38% are unaffiliated. Not when the state usually votes Red, and certainly not when a criminal fraud con man currently leads the state. It would be an upset, perhaps not a shocking one, but a pretty big upset if Harris wins NC. Only Obama could do it with huge turnout from one side.

My wife and I were registered unaffliated for years, voted blue but didn't want to broadcast our political affliliation living and working very very red Harnett and Iredell counties. We changed to Democratic this year because fuck it. My 18 year old daughter registered unaffiliated for the same reasons and she'll vote blue.

 

[UNCatTech]

My family had a voting party this morning.

All 5 of us voted. This was my youngest daughter's first election she could vote in.

And, we might have ran over a couple of trump signs on the way out of the parking lot.

 

[Centerpiece]

Pulling hard for NC to do the right thing. Can’t do anything about Michigan, PA, Wisconsin, Georgia or Nevada..
But we have a vote here in the Tar Heel State.
My wife has been boots on the ground here, canvassing. I’ve given $ to campaigns. Put up signs in our yard (only to be stolen in the dead of night during hurricane blackout.) Doing what we can do.
But hopefully we can give some electoral votes to Harris, and get Jackson, Stein and Mo Green over the finish line. If we can do those things, regardless of what happens nationally, I’ll be proud of my Tar Heel brethren.

 

[aGDevil2k]

Of course, though it's hard to quantify.

I just had a door knocker a few minutes ago. There is a certain effectiveness to it. I'm what you would call a very likely voter (and I've never voted for a Pub in my life), but there's a non-zero chance I skip voting. Maybe I will be feeling crappy on election day, or there will be long lines, or whatever. But now I've told these guys, "you don't have to worry about me, I'm as solid as they come" and shit, if I don't vote, I will feel like I let those guys down. So the probability of me voting increased. Maybe only from 98% to 99%, but it's something. And if I was more like 85%, I could see it lifting me to 95%.

I view ground as way more than canvassing. Events, attractive mobilization etc... Those things really can matter

 

[aGDevil2k]

And yeah I imagine early vote analysis is not the whole Dems need a big lead because pubs only vote on election Day anymore
So many influencer type analysts just have no clue how things may go

 

[rodoheel]

 

[CFordUNC]

'This sucker is baked': Bush adviser explains why he's certain Harris has already won

'This sucker is baked': Bush adviser explains why he's certain Harris has already won A core adviser to George W. Bush and Sen. John McCain made an election prediction Friday which he said was almost certain: “This sucker is baked.” Mark McKinnon, who served as the chief media adviser for...

www.lipstickalley.com

'This sucker is baked': Bush adviser explains why he's certain Harris has already won

A core adviser to George W. Bush and Sen. John McCain made an election prediction Friday which he said was almost certain: “This sucker is baked.”

Mark McKinnon, who served as the chief media adviser for both Republicans, shared his conclusion in Vanity Fair.

He said that, with only 18 days until America goes to the polls and with no major events scheduled that could potentially shake-up the race, Kamala Harris could comfortably start planning her victory party.

“I mean, when you have the nominee of a major political party mentally unplugging during a town hall, stopping answering questions, and swaying along to his own Spotify playlist for 39 interminable minutes—and no one seems to blink—we’re out of surprises,” he wrote.

“There’s no big last debate. No tentpole events likely to shake up the race in these dwindling days. Yes, a full-on war could break out in the Middle East. Or another hurricane could blow ashore, wreaking havoc—and Category 5 conspiracy theories. But the reality is that if nothing or everything happens between now and November 5, it’s unlikely to change the outcome.

“This sucker is baked.”

Explaining how he reached his prediction, he said he doesn’t believe there are undecided voters — if somebody hasn’t yet made a decision, chances are they won’t be going to the polls.

So it now comes down to which camp can get more of their voters to turnout — and while Trump supporters are “committed,” Harris' are “excited.”

And then there’s each team’s ground game. Trump is largely relying on volunteers, while Harris’ army of field workers is paid.

“In addition, Trump suddenly seems not just lazy, weak (by dodging another debate, for instance), and old, but also truly out of it,” he wrote.

“Some days he makes it seem like the “25” in Project 2025 is a secret plan to execute the 25th Amendment if he actually gets elected, paving the way for—Lord help us—President JD Vance.”

He continued, “Meanwhile, Harris looks strong and confident. She’s demanding another debate. She’s marching into the lion’s den of Fox News and perhaps Joe Rogan’s podcast. She’s running clips of Dictatorial Donald at her rallies—to cheers and jeers. On the campaign trail, she’s enlisting the help of a raft of ready-for-prime-time players, including Barack Obama, other top Democrats, and a number of anti-Trump Republicans.”

And then there’s the gender card. McKinnon wrote that he expects record-breaking turnout for women voters — and the vast majority will vote for Harris.

He concluded, “Kamala Harris is going to win. Maybe easily.”

 

[Healing]

And then there’s the gender card. McKinnon wrote that he expects record-breaking turnout for women voters — and the vast majority will vote for Harris.

This was said about Clinton yet Biden won a larger share of the female vote.

 

[CFordUNC]

This was said about Clinton yet Biden won a larger share of the female vote.

True, but Dobbs likely changed the calculus significantly.

 

[aGDevil2k]

True, but Dobbs likely changed the calculus significantly.

And the impending doom of it beforehand

 

[HintonJamesHeel]

I feel like everything will break for Harris but a national lead of 1-2 in the polls is very, very, very concerning. I think the polls are wrong and she’ll win easily.