2025 & 2026 Elections | ELECTION DAY 2025

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Mamdani is going to win. Cuomo is a terrible candidate and no Republican is going to win NY, especially with a Republican president in office.

How will the Democratic Party respond?
 
This is probably embarrassing for someone who generally likes to keep up with the current goings on in politics but I generally do not know – would someone give me the fifth grade CliffsNotes version of why Trump and MAGA are so threatened by Mamdani?
They are not directly, but the billionaires and millionaires in NYC feel threatened in that they believe his proposed policies will impact their fortunes. And Trump et al. will look out for billionaires and millionaires as long as they aren’t critical of Trump.
 
This is probably embarrassing for someone who generally likes to keep up with the current goings on in politics but I generally do not know – would someone give me the fifth grade CliffsNotes version of why Trump and MAGA are so threatened by Mamdani?
I think it is more that they view him as a political anchor they can hang around the Dems collective necks, so they want to give as much oxygen to the NYC campaign as they can and paint Mamdani as extreme as they can.

Right, wrong or delusional, Wall Street certainly doesn’t want to see socialist policies in NYC.

Trump and MAGA also seem to have grievance about seeing a Muslim candidate win, but it is more politically palatable to attack him as a “communist” or “antisemite” (and more effective against Dems nationally) than directly for being Muslim (but there has been plenty of that as well)

And Mamdani has real political vulnerability on some of his past statements about Israel, so antisemitism attacks might be the most effective with important parts of the NYC electorate.
 
Mamdani is going to win. Cuomo is a terrible candidate and no Republican is going to win NY, especially with a Republican president in office.

How will the Democratic Party respond?
I doubt there will be a unified response. I imagine there will be a subset of Democrats who want to more aggressively push progressive policies who will point to Mamdani as a sign of what the Democratic Party’s direction should be. But they need to realize that NYC politics is not reflective of American politics in general and Mamdani was running against unbelievably awful opponents. Thus, his victory is likely no barometer for where America is politically.
 


[Names appear twice because the same person can run representing more than one party — which is weird but it has been like that for a while, so NYC voters should be used to it ]
 

Can Democrats mount a comeback? Look to Tuesday's elections for clues.​

They're looking to Tuesday’s elections for clues about their future in Trump's second term.


“… In 2024, Kamala Harris won Virginia and New Jersey, reliably blue states, by just 5 and 6 points respectively — underperforming Biden’s 2020 campaign. Improving that margin of victory on Tuesday will give Democrats a much-needed morale boost, one that would likely draw the attention of donors, operatives and midterm candidates.

But mixed results — or tighter outcomes across the board — would likely throw Democrats back into internal recriminations over how to win during the second Trump era. The largely leaderless party is still arguing over how and why it lost its way a year ago.…”

[My note — perceptions of the outcome may also impact how/when the government shutdown is resolved in the Senate. Will the perception be things are still in stalemate in the electorate or indicate better than expected support for one side or the other?]
 
Where I live we just have elections for town council although for a small town these council elections get pretty heated - I've already voted so today I'll mainly be waiting for results from the big races elsewhere and also see how the elections here go
 

Can Democrats mount a comeback? Look to Tuesday's elections for clues.​

They're looking to Tuesday’s elections for clues about their future in Trump's second term.


“… In 2024, Kamala Harris won Virginia and New Jersey, reliably blue states, by just 5 and 6 points respectively — underperforming Biden’s 2020 campaign. Improving that margin of victory on Tuesday will give Democrats a much-needed morale boost, one that would likely draw the attention of donors, operatives and midterm candidates.

But mixed results — or tighter outcomes across the board — would likely throw Democrats back into internal recriminations over how to win during the second Trump era. The largely leaderless party is still arguing over how and why it lost its way a year ago.…”

[My note — perceptions of the outcome may also impact how/when the government shutdown is resolved in the Senate. Will the perception be things are still in stalemate in the electorate or indicate better than expected support for one side or the other?]
“… Republicans are similarly obsessing over the margins. If Democratic nominees Mikie Sherrill in New Jersey and Abigail Spanberger in Virginia outperform Harris and “hit 55 percent … Republicans really have to look in the mirror and say, ‘Here’s your preview. We have a year. How do you get the Trump coalition motivated and turned out to match the intensity of Democrats,’” said Robert Blizzard, a Republican pollster.

“That is usually the challenge in a midterm election, when the wind is in your face,” Blizzard continued. “If they don’t eclipse what Harris got in Virginia and New Jersey, I’d say the Democrats could be and should be growing concerned about 2026.”…”

[my note - Most indications are a tighter race for NJ governor than POtUS, consistent with the prior NJ gubernatorial election in 2021, so this GOP framing suggests they are hanging their hat on claiming victory in NJ if the Dems win but underperform Harris even if they are about the same or better than Dem performance in 2021; on the flip side, Dems suffered a lot of headwinds in 2021, including Biden’s approval tanking and the second Menendez investigation that was in public view in 2021]
 


[Names appear twice because the same person can run representing more than one party — which is weird but it has been like that for a while, so NYC voters should be used to it ]

No ID is required, true… but if you wanted to cheat you’d have to give a valid name and address for someone registered in that precinct who hadn’t already voted (neither in early voting nor in person that day). Then if that real voter showed up to vote later in the day and weren’t allowed to because they were shown as having “already voted,” there would be a shitstorm.

So it’s not exactly an efficient nor inconspicuous way to cheat the system. It’s just outrage bait as usual.
 
You know, if Trump, Elon, and Miller are all in your corner rooting you on, then maybe - just hear me out - you're on the wrong side. Nah, that couldn't be it.
They know this will guarantee Mandami wins, which is what they want. It gives them the pretext to come down hard on NYC.
 
I voted in my NOVA district last week. I made sure the pub tent people see me grab the dem handout (first time I've ever done that). As I walked in the polling area I saw a non-polling "volunteer" in military-style fatigues standing around just inside the exit door in the polling area watching and I asked the person in charge of the polling area if he was authorized to ACTUALLY be IN the polling area. There's an area just outside of the polling area that has windows for anyone to view the voters. The person said no and required him to step out of the area but said he was allowed to watch from just outside through the windows.

He was super pissed and gave me a "fuck you" look but ended up complying.

To be clear, I don't think he was officially asked by any party to be there but it was clear he was engaged in a not so subtle way of intimidating voters.

Fuckn' POS
 
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