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Approval/Disapproval Polls

  • Thread starter Thread starter nycfan
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RCP right /direction polls

Of 7 polls ( including Rasmussen ) right direction is 44% and wrong direction is 51%

average Trump approval ratings on the issues:
42% approval on economy
43% approval on foreign policy
50% on immigration
39% on inflation
 
heelinhell said:
RCP right /direction polls

Of 7 polls ( including Rasmussen ) right direction is 44% and wrong direction is 51%

average Trump approval ratings on the issues:
42% approval on economy
43% approval on foreign policy
50% on immigration
39% on inflation
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I figure one harvest season and a concomitant rise in food prices will drop the approval on immigration policy. Conscience should but that's not nearly as reliable as money.
 
StrangePackage said:
Bold of you to assume his fans can draw that line in their brains.
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Yeah, count me out of the non-maga prognostication game called Just-Wait-Until. There is no just wait until with maga. Juan Peron economically decimated Argentina, yet maintained his cult. maga is a values, beliefs, and ego outsourcing psychological phenomenon, grounded in deep, deep insecurities. Maybe Trump bottoms out in the upper 30s, but it ain’t going below that, IMO, and I suspect 40% is the bottom. As the sociopolitical and economic circumstances deteriorate, maga will find numerous reasons it’s the Democratic Party, or disloyal republicans, or the deep state, or, or, or. The behavior is never ending and the firm commitment to finding external loci of control will intensify.
 
Healing said:
Yeah, count me out of the non-maga prognostication game called Just-Wait-Until. There is no just wait until with maga. Juan Peron economically decimated Argentina, yet maintained his cult. maga is a values, beliefs, and ego outsourcing psychological phenomenon, grounded in deep, deep insecurities. Maybe Trump bottoms out in the upper 30s, but it ain’t going below that, IMO, and I suspect 40% is the bottom. As the sociopolitical and economic circumstances deteriorate, maga will find numerous reasons it’s the Democratic Party, or disloyal republicans, or the deep state, or, or, or. The behavior is never ending and the firm commitment to finding external loci of control will intensify.
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Also an extreme lack of critical thinking skills. When you can become convinced that (a) the border was “wide open” from January 2021 to January 2024, but not before or after those dates, and (b) people here illegally are all gang members, murderers and rapists, you have profound deficiencies in either your intellectual capacity or your education, or both.
 

CNN Poll: A record share of Americans want the government to get more done. Few trust either party to do it​



“… Americans see Republicans and Democrats as offering vastly contrasting visions of the country. An 81% majority say they see important differences between the two parties, marking an increase from two years ago across political, age and educational lines. Just 18% say the parties are “pretty much the same,” down from 28% in 2023 and roughly one-third in CNN and Gallup polling dating back to 2002.


But even among those who say there are critical differences between the two major parties, a sizable minority say neither reflects their vision across a range of issues: Nearly 20% who see such differences still say neither party reflects their perspective on at least 5 out of 9 issues they were asked about in the poll.

Asked to choose which of the parties they see as the “party that can get things done,” “the party with strong leaders” or the “party of change,” the lion’s share of the public – more than 4 in 10 – say that neither party fits the bill…”
 
nycfan said:

CNN Poll: A record share of Americans want the government to get more done. Few trust either party to do it​



“… Americans see Republicans and Democrats as offering vastly contrasting visions of the country. An 81% majority say they see important differences between the two parties, marking an increase from two years ago across political, age and educational lines. Just 18% say the parties are “pretty much the same,” down from 28% in 2023 and roughly one-third in CNN and Gallup polling dating back to 2002.


But even among those who say there are critical differences between the two major parties, a sizable minority say neither reflects their vision across a range of issues: Nearly 20% who see such differences still say neither party reflects their perspective on at least 5 out of 9 issues they were asked about in the poll.

Asked to choose which of the parties they see as the “party that can get things done,” “the party with strong leaders” or the “party of change,” the lion’s share of the public – more than 4 in 10 – say that neither party fits the bill…”
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“… While neither political party is viewed as especially strong or effective, skepticism weighs particularly heavily on the Democratic Party.

Americans are far more likely to see Republicans than Democrats as the party with strong leaders: 40% say this descriptor applies more to the GOP, with just 16% saying it applies to the Democrats. They’re also more likely to call Republicans the party that can get things done by 36% to 19%, and the party of change, by 32% to 25%.

That’s in large part because of relatively anemic support for Democrats among their own partisans.

GOP-aligned adults are 50 points likelier than Democratic-aligned adults to say their own party has strong leaders, and 36 points likelier to view their party as able to get things done.

True independents, those who don’t lean toward either party, are particularly grim in their views of the parties on these issues: 76% say neither party has strong leaders or can get things done, and 72% that they view neither as the party of change.

While the public as a whole sees the GOP as relatively effective, they also say, 41% to 30%, that it’s better described as the party of extremism, the only attribute tested that fewer than 30% said applied to neither party. Roughly one-sixth of Republican-aligned adults say they view the GOP as representing extremism, compared with roughly one-tenth of Democratic-aligned adults who say the same of their own party.…”
 
nycfan said:
That’s in large part because of relatively anemic support for Democrats among their own partisans.
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This is the result of liberals saying things like "I'm not a member of any organized political party, I'm a dem" and variously similar quotes that we see here on the board.

Talking shit about your own team is rarely a recipe for success. Especially on a message board, where a hundred people could be reading and every time people express negativity about Dems, it goes into the discourse. People see it enough times, they start believing it.
 
I don’t put much stock in polls. The average American is a pretty dim bulb. Asking them to respond to questions in some political poll reminds of the skit on SNL many years ago where Steve Martin was the game show host on “Common Knowledge”
 
With these types of numbers, what exactly are we talking about when we ask only democrats and republicans this question?

“According to the latest estimates, North Carolina has about 8 million citizen-voting-age residents, and as of Sept. 28th, 2024, 7.6 million registered voters. Their partisan affiliation was roughly split between three groups: unaffiliated, Democrat, and Republican, with a slight lead to unaffiliated. Specifically:

  • 2,886,573 or 38% were registered unaffiliated;
  • 2,413,469 or 32% were registered Democrat;
  • 2,285,377 or 30% were registered Republican; and
  • 72,300 or 0.94% were registered to another party.”
Who are North Carolina’s 7.6 million registered voters? (2024) | Carolina Demography
 
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Centerpiece said:
I don’t put much stock in polls. The average American is a pretty dim bulb. Asking them to respond to questions in some political poll reminds of the skit on SNL many years ago where Steve Martin was the game show host on “Common Knowledge”
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not shocking that not much has changed since this skit
 
We’ve all seen the bits on Leno or Letterman where somebody goes out with a microphone and camera to a place like Venice Beach and they stop passers-by and ask similar questions… and the dumbass “average” American says some stupid shit like in the SNL skit.

Let’s face it, the average American is indeed a very dim bulb. And I can guarantee you that a large majority of those dumbasses vote against their own best interests in elections. I enter into evidence, exhibit A, your Honor: the 2024 Presidential election.

The dumbasses that voted for Trump do NOT, I repeat do NOT know what tariffs are or how they work. They think vaccines for CoVid, small pox and measles are hooey; They think Donald Trump is a brilliant businessman, and they think Jan 6, 2021 was a peaceful protest and that Josh Hawley was just jogging down the hall to get some excercise.

Americans, by and large are dim bulbs, and any political polling with weirdly worded questions or surveys cannot be taken seriously. Prove me wrong.
 
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