IC's reporting about NIL and its impact on Carolina Basketball has been muddled, to say the least. They've essentially reported that we've "been competitive" on many offers and that we aren't near the top of CBB in NIL. And they've refused to be nailed down any further than that, even when specifically asked.
I get they can't always tell everything they hear or know and that I'm sure they have sources putting out the info they'd like the public to hear, but I don't think you can reach any clear conclusions about the impact of NIL on recruiting, specifically to particular recruits or generally, based on IC's reporting.
My best guess is that we've not lost many recruits solely due to NIL, but rarely have we won based on NIL, either. The question, though, is if a second bad year for Hubert and the increased pressure to win soon will create an environment where supporters of the basketball program decide to significantly increase NIL to give Hubert the best possible chance to succeed.