10 - 3 = 7 so still not 3:1
Again, at least several of those 7 are maybe crack the rotation guys, who cares
I'd also push back on Withers not fulfilling a projected role last year
In a vacuum you're correct. They didn't actually land a shooter but they landed who was considered the top shooting prospect in the portal, heavily recruited by other top programs
Sometimes players simply don't pan out and this is the true concern of the portal and recruiting in general. The best scouts and coaches miss from time to time. I have nothing specific on the scout of Cade but it's hardly a unique indictment of HD and staff
Not landing anything at the 4 or 5 was a major failure but without knowing how or why that occurred I can't get too worked up over the possibility of it happening again
Can't fault folks for concern, I just think it's misplaced. Worry about big $ SEC and BIG teams and what HD does with these players after he gets them (a different discussion entirely)
Every portal season is a crapshoot. Rolling a 12 last year has no bearing on the next roll
Addressing the ratio, this staff has brought in 12 transfers (I think I have them all): Claude, Tyson, Lubin, Okonkwo, Ingram, Withers, Wojcik, Ryan, McKoy, Nance, Garcia, Manek. Of those, I'd say that Manek, Ryan, Ingram were hits. 3:1.
On your second point, that's still a failure on the staff's part, imo. And, he's not playing because he's not shooting it well. He's not playing because his game (all around) is not close to being on a level compared to others in the ACC (which is a very weak conference this year).
As you mentioned, you can't fault folks for being concerned. I'm offering reasons for such concern. I think the biggest reason is that HD/staff have not show much to warrant faith in them going forward. I think many would feel definitely about next year if they had faith in the coaches. But, from everything we've seen, this staff is not ready yet to lead UNC basketball.