Boston College Biorhythms (2:15 start)

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BillOfRights said:
That was the worst defensive performance by Carolina that I've seen in a long time. The offense was really good. Carolina scored on several set plays, and I caught myself reminded of Coach Smith's late game comebacks with great strategy and use of timeouts. That was a win, but less than satisfying. It was really good to see RJ Davis have a great offensive game. Maybe his best offensive game of the year.

If Carolina's players don't commit to defense, the next two weeks will be miserable.
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The defense, especially in the paint was bad but goddamn BC couldn’t miss there for awhile.
 
I cannot understand the switch-on-everything philosophy. It leads to laziness and open looks. BC hit open 3s and got a lot of good looks. We saw last year how much better communication, intensity, etc. was on the defensive end when they finally stopped switching on everything.
 
Heelsandeers said:
I'm in Pittsburgh but not paying for cable/streaming right now. Able to watch most networks through streaming apps or cheap antenna but no CW

YTTV is offering a free trial so reactivated my account. Don't really use it til March
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CW Pittsburgh: WPNT (KDKA+) OTA channel 22.1
 
BillOfRights said:
That was the worst defensive performance by Carolina that I've seen in a long time. The offense was really good. Carolina scored on several set plays, and I caught myself reminded of Coach Smith's late game comebacks with great strategy and use of timeouts. That was a win, but less than satisfying. It was really good to see RJ Davis have a great offensive game. Maybe his best offensive game of the year.

If Carolina's players don't commit to defense, the next two weeks will be miserable.
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The defense was bad, but I think your post (and Dewey’s postgame comments on IC) on the defense are biased by the absurd 3 point percentage BC shot. If they shoot their usual percentage, we win the game by 20.

When we held SMU and Cal to absurdly low 3 point percentages, our defense wasn’t that much better. The shots just didn’t fall.

People sometimes ignore how much role shot luck has in overall defense.
 
Calheel said:
The defense was bad, but I think your post (and Dewey’s postgame comments on IC) on the defense are biased by the absurd 3 point percentage BC shot. If they shoot their usual percentage, we win the game by 20.

When we held SMU and Cal to absurdly low 3 point percentages, our defense wasn’t that much better. The shots just didn’t fall.

People sometimes ignore how much role shot luck has in overall defense.
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1.3 PPP to a top 200 offense at home

It was shot luck AND about the worst defensive effort you can imagine
 
Heelsandeers said:
1.3 PPP to a top 200 offense at home

It was shot luck AND about the worst defensive effort you can imagine
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It was bad. I am not trying to sugarcoat it. But the disparity in PPP between SMU/Cal and this game has an awful lot to do with luck. If those teams shoot their normal percentages, those games would have been nail biters. And if BC shoots its normal 3FG percentage, it would have been a laugher.
 
stankeylegjones said:
Shooting percentages tend to rise when teams get really good looks.
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Will need to watch it again, but it looked like Trimble and folks were in position on a ton of those 3’s. As Roy always said, it always looks better when the ball goes in the basket. It did this afternoon for BC - and it wasn’t necessarily just poor defensive effort.

I recall scoring 31 in a JV high school game back in the last century. My only “great game” I ever had. I was unconscious from all over the court. The other team didn’t lay down for me. They gave effort. That kid Brown scored way over his average…. And it wasn’t just bad defense. Brown scores his average and we win by double digits in regulation. Shit happens. Even Centerpiece scoring 31.
 
Centerpiece said:
Will need to watch it again, but it looked like Trimble and folks were in position on a ton of those 3’s. As Roy always said, it always looks better when the ball goes in the basket. It did this afternoon for BC - and it wasn’t necessarily just poor defensive effort.

I recall scoring 31 in a JV high school game back in the last century. My only “great game” I ever had. I was unconscious from all over the court. The other team didn’t lay down for me. They gave effort. That kid Brown scored way over his average…. And it wasn’t just bad defense. Brown scores his average and we win by double digits in regulation. Shit happens. Even Centerpiece scoring 31.
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I'm interested in hearing your thoughts after you watch it.
 
Please don't make excuses about them shooting lights out. BC doesn't shoot 14/24 from 3 and score 96 points on anyone without some horrible, horrible defense paving the way. Don't they average losing by 17.5 in the ACC? Just like ND we absolutely pulled this game out of our ass at the very last second to avoid an extremely embarrasing loss.

I would also like to know why Ian Jackson was sitting on the bench when we were down 2 with under a minute to go and had 3 time outs. Then we do the thing where we hold the ball the entire shot clock and don't even get a shot off (unless you call some flailing, deperate toss in the air a shot). With the only guy who can consistently drive and create his own shot sitting on the bench. Perhaps there is a good reason but I'm not giving Hubert the benefit of many doubts right now.
 
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stankeylegjones said:
Good news: JWash appears to be ok!
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I know one tweet went out where he said he was "OK health wise" but I'm not entirely sure what that means. When a guy with glass knees goes down with no contact and stays on the floor five minutes, and then has to be helped off by two people, it usually doesn't turn out well (especially in the short term).
 
LosPollosHermanos said:
I know one tweet went out where he said he was "OK health wise" but I'm not entirely sure what that means. When a guy with glass knees goes down with no contact and stays on the floor five minutes, and then has to be helped off by two people, it usually doesn't turn out well (especially in the short term).
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IC reporting that his availability for a post-game interview means the staff doesn’t consider him “injured.”
 
www.thestrick.land

A Study on Three-Point Shooting — The Strickland: A New York Knicks Site Guaranteed To Make 'Em Jump

Drew does a deep dive on the nature of three-point shooting, both offensively and defensively by revisiting previous analyses done on the subject from Nylon Calculus.
www.thestrick.land www.thestrick.land

This is for the NBA, but the same idea is roughly true for college:
  1. Open 3-point shooting ranges between 33.5% and 35.6%.
  2. Wide-open 3-point shooting ranges between 38% and 39.1%.

Ken Pom says:

The three-point shot is worth more than any other shot and with the exception of free-throw accuracy, it’s the box-score event least influenced by the defense.
 
Centerpiece said:
Will need to watch it again, but it looked like Trimble and folks were in position on a ton of those 3’s. As Roy always said, it always looks better when the ball goes in the basket. It did this afternoon for BC - and it wasn’t necessarily just poor defensive effort.

I recall scoring 31 in a JV high school game back in the last century. My only “great game” I ever had. I was unconscious from all over the court. The other team didn’t lay down for me. They gave effort. That kid Brown scored way over his average…. And it wasn’t just bad defense. Brown scores his average and we win by double digits in regulation. Shit happens. Even Centerpiece scoring 31.
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Most everyone of us have had one of those pickup experiences where you just couldn’t miss. I definitely had some games where our lousy team beat a good team because everything we threw up went in the basket.

When a team is hot, people like to attribute it to lousy defense. But go back and chart the SMU/Cal game and this game. Count how many open, lightly contested and heavily contested 3 pt shots each team took. You’ll see that the numbers weren’t really that different. But Cal and SMU missed their lightly guarded 3 point shots, BC didn’t.

This isn’t an excuse for today - more a comment about Cal and SMU. Sometimes the other team has a say in what happens, too.
 
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