EXIT POLLS & TURNOUT DATA - The Red Shift

  • Thread starter Thread starter nycfan
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There was a Washington Post article last week that predicted over 90% turnout in PA. I scoffed. I still do, actually, but looks like PA is taking seriously being the fulcrum of the election.
 
I always question these posts. I mean long lines in the morning in red and blue. OMG what does it all mean!?
 
Counties to watch:


  • Georgia - Baldwin, Fayette
  • NC - Cabarrus (hold Trump to +5 or less), Nash (Budd +7 in ‘22, Biden by a handful in ‘20)
  • MI - Muskegon (Obama +18, Biden +0.6 but big Whitmer county), Saginaw (Biden won by 303 votes)
  • PA - Bucks (Biden +4, but registration moved to R-lead in ‘24), Cumberland (Trump + 18 in ‘16, Trump +11 in ‘20), Northampton (since 1920, predicted all but 3 winners but was Trump +1.2 in ‘20)
  • WI - Sauk (Trump +200 votes in ‘16, Biden +600 votes ‘20), Ozaukee (Trump +18 in ,16, Trump +12 in ‘20)
  • AZ - Maricopa — that’s where the people are
  • NV - Washoe (Biden +4.5, Clinton +1.3)
 
05C40 said:
I'm volunteering and handing out Democratic voting guides at my local precient since opened this morning. No line at all at any time.
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Thanks for the effort — too bad about the turnout
 
tallheel95 said:
So many things to love about that. But also... young men who listen to Rogan are more likely to get bored in line and leave. Young women are going to stick it out until the finish line, because IT MATTERS.
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Fuck yes they are.
 
I wouldn’t expect much of a line in my precinct today because I think I live in an area where the majority of the people vote early.
 
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