EXIT POLLS & TURNOUT DATA - The Red Shift

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These are the kids of folks I'm worried about the most. Those that just switch every year because they want any kind of change. They don't know what change, just something has to change.
 
CFordUNC said:


Lolololol
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Everyone has been saying for weeks that Kamala's grassroots get-out-the-vote organization is far superior to Trump's, mainly because Trump's campaign never seems to have bothered to put one together. My guess is that Lara Trump has been diverting a good deal of the RNC's funds to her and her father-in-law's personal bank accounts. Having said that it may not matter, as Trumpers have shown they're willing to crawl over glass to vote for Dear Leader, no matter how old they are. Trump's lack of a good get-out-the-vote drive could make a difference in states like PA, where just a few thousand missed votes for Trump may push Kamala over the top.
 
"... Georgia Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger is optimistic a Georgia winner will be projected on election night.

With more than 4 million early votes already cast and mail-in ballots received and accepted, all of them must be uploaded and recorded no later than one hour after polls close, Raffensperger said.

Most polls will close at 7 p.m., so by 8 p.m. “you’ll have probably 99% of all that, so you’ll get a good idea of what the race looks like,” he said.

“And then all the voting you’re seeing today, before the end of the night, you’ll have all that.”

Many of Georgia’s smaller counties are trying to finish by 10 or 10:30 p.m. at the latest. ..."

 
Mulberry Heel said:
Everyone has been saying for weeks that Kamala's grassroots get-out-the-vote organization is far superior to Trump's, mainly because Trump's campaign never seems to have bothered to put one together. My guess is that Lara Trump has been diverting a good deal of the RNC's funds to her and her father-in-law's personal bank accounts. Having said that it may not matter, as Trumpers have shown they're willing to crawl over glass to vote for Dear Leader, no matter how old they are. Trump's lack of a good get-out-the-vote drive could make a difference in states like PA, where just a few thousand missed votes for Trump may push Kamala over the top.
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When a grifter is the man at the top, everyone else below him has license to scam and grift too. Hopefully that will be Trump’s downfall.
 
nycfan said:
"... Georgia Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger is optimistic a Georgia winner will be projected on election night.

With more than 4 million early votes already cast and mail-in ballots received and accepted, all of them must be uploaded and recorded no later than one hour after polls close, Raffensperger said.

Most polls will close at 7 p.m., so by 8 p.m. “you’ll have probably 99% of all that, so you’ll get a good idea of what the race looks like,” he said.

“And then all the voting you’re seeing today, before the end of the night, you’ll have all that.”

Many of Georgia’s smaller counties are trying to finish by 10 or 10:30 p.m. at the latest. ..."

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Yes, let's get all of that counted so that Fulton and DeKalb know what they have to do before we get to the end of the night.

Season 3 Laughing GIF by The Simpsons
 


Progressives in Texas swear something’s up there but … women were 55% of the Texas electorate in 2020 (though Biden only won with Texas women 51-48 and Trump was 57-40 among Texas men) — 1.6 million votes were cast in Harris County, so will keep any eye on their turnout. All relevant to a possible upset of Ted Cruz.

Charlie Brown Football GIF
 
superrific said:
How do these random twitter accounts get into your feed? What is being depicted there is NOT a tied race. Tied by registration, which is not at all the same thing.
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Just noting for reference later that in Iowa in 2020, women cast 52% of the votes and went for Biden 51-48. (Men were 58-39 for Trump)
 
nycfan said:


Progressives in Texas swear something’s up there but … women were 55% of the Texas electorate in 2020 (though Biden only won with Texas women 51-48 and Trump was 57-40 among Texas men) — 1.6 million votes were cast in Harris County, so will keep any eye on their turnout. All relevant to a possible upset of Ted Cruz.

Charlie Brown Football GIF
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2020 was a different Roevian Time.
 
BTW if only 1.2 million folks in NC vote today (which isnt really a lot), then the state passes 80% turnout
 
I'm telling you, Harris will win the presidency, Democrats will take the house and it'll be at best for Republicans 51-49 in the senate. Harris will win by enough I think to have a decent mandate. Problem is, without Walz as a tiebreaker, may be hard to get anything done. Hopefully on some things a Republican Senate will play ball.
 
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