May 2024 entries: 66,000
May 2025: 0
Trump wins.
Just a few comments on this:
1. We don't measure "entries," nor is there any possible way we could do so.
2. We typically measure border
encounters, which is very different from entries, and which has been subject to significantly different definitions over recent years.
3. What DHS is reporting as zero for May 2025 is not even encounters, but rather undocumented persons released by ICE into the US. I doubt that number is actually zero, but it's possible it could be. Just want to be sure everyone knows what we're talking about here.
4. A large part of the reason encounters is down so far is that Trump ended pretty much all forms of asylum access. To be fair, Biden started doing that in early 2024, which is why the encounter numbers dropped so precipitously over the final months of his presidency. Trump just ended them (almost) completely, though (except for white South Africans, of course), and those persons have always made up a huge percentage of encounters. Thus, far fewer encounters with no active asylum programs.
Here's the rub, though. Whether Trump's policies towards asylum will prove to be legal has yet to be determined. But regardless of that, the human cost is guaranteed to be significant. I don't do a ton of immigration work but I do have a pro bono client right now who has an asylum hearing scheduled in the next two months. He's a gay man from El Salvador who came to the US during Trump's first term because he was being threatened by local gangs with sexual abuse and potential slavery. Since he's been in the US, he's worked diligently (and legally), including in jobs we would consider white collar, earning substantial money and paying substantial taxes. He has committed no crimes. He works with immigrant children in his community. He and his partner, who is a US citizen, are hoping to marry and start a family if his asylum application is granted. He knew no English when he came over, but he now knows enough that I'm hoping we can do the asylum hearing in English, as that can make a difference to our immigration judges.
Now, my client may be denied asylum, in which case he will likely be quickly deported to El Salvador and is at extremely high risk of sexual abuse and potential death. That's the burden hanging on my shoulders right now. But the point is, under the current policies that have resulted in the numbers Ram and others are so proud of, my client would never even have the chance of finding safety in the United States. None. He would be trapped in El Salvador, and there's a great chance he would already be dead.
So it's easy to talk about numbers. It's easy to talk about laws (although I personally think what Trump is doing right now with asylum is lawless). But let's not lose sight of the people. Politics is people. The personal is political. Whatever you may think about immigration as an abstract policy, the impact of those policies on people are vitally important.