Tariffs Catch-All

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The US is grappling with a deepening tourism crisis as tensions with Canada—fueled by new tariffs, political rhetoric, and heightened border scrutiny—have triggered a dramatic collapse in Canadian travel. Flights have been slashed, road crossings have declined sharply, and future bookings have plummeted, resulting in millions of dollars in lost tourism revenue. Once-reliable streams of Canadian visitors, who traditionally account for the largest share of international arrivals, are now drying up amid fears of detainment, device inspections, and broader disapproval of U.S. policies. These disruptions are severely impacting key tourism economies, especially in states like California and Minnesota, compounding the country’s border woes.

The US is experiencing a significant decline in Canadian tourism as geopolitical tensions, new tariffs, heightened border scrutiny, and growing fears about deportation and device inspections at ports of entry deter travelers. This growing rift between the U.S. and its northern neighbor is manifesting in severe economic repercussions, particularly in border states and tourism-dependent regions like California. With airlines slashing flights, bookings collapsing, and long-time visitors canceling travel, the impact on state and municipal economies is becoming increasingly dire.
In an attempt to salvage California’s shrinking international tourism base, a promotional campaign targeting Canadians was launched in April. The campaign presented the state as an open, welcoming escape from political tensions, marketing California as “the ultimate playground — 2,000 miles from Washington and a world away in mindset.”

Despite the effort, the campaign failed to reassure Canadian audiences. Online reactions quickly reflected widespread concern over the current U.S. political climate, especially under the second administration of President Donald Trump. The sharp rise in visa denials, the detention of tourists, and even high-profile deportation cases have fed growing anxiety among international travelers. Canadians expressed particular fears about border agents searching personal devices or misinterpreting political views, sparking concerns about civil liberties and personal security while in the U.S.


This rising apprehension has translated into measurable consequences. Visit California, the state’s official tourism body, has projected a 9% drop in international arrivals in 2025, with the most significant losses expected from Canada and Mexico. Canadian travelers, in particular, have historically contributed significantly to California’s tourism economy due to their frequent visits and high spending levels.

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A Wake-Up Call for Policy and Industry Leaders​

The current crisis underscores the fragility of the tourism economy and the extent to which geopolitical decisions impact real-world behaviors. While international tourism can often seem immune to political changes, the collapse of Canadian travel to the U.S. serves as a sharp reminder that traveler sentiment is closely tied to national policies, public discourse, and diplomatic relations.

The US is facing escalating border challenges as Canadian tourism collapses due to tariff tensions, political backlash, and intensified border scrutiny. This sharp decline in flights, road trips, and bookings is costing millions in lost revenue across key travel markets.

Airlines, travel agencies, hotel operators, and municipal leaders are all urging a coordinated response to stabilize the situation. Some are calling for clearer border protocols, greater transparency, and diplomatic reassurances that address the fears keeping Canadians away.

As the summer season approaches, the United States faces a sobering reality: a vital revenue stream from its closest neighbor is evaporating. Without meaningful action to address the underlying causes, the damage to U.S. tourism could extend well beyond 2025 — threatening long-term economic stability in regions that have long relied on open, friendly cross-border travel.
 


(Statistically, Lutnick is generally right about the tariffs not having much impact on retail prices yet (or at least in the April data), but if folks think they have already felt it, (a) politically that is bad for Trump that people are blaming him for perceived inflation and (b) if the tariffs actually start to bite this summer, it will be magnified to people who already say they feel it.)
 
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Trump woke up in a mood to tank the markets and relationship with our allies, apparently. Wonder if his night carousing with the top foreign and domestic holders of his meme coin last night encouraged this?
 
IMG_7050.jpeg

Trump woke up in a mood to tank the markets and relationship with our allies, apparently. Wonder if his night carousing with the top foreign and domestic holders of his meme coin last night encouraged this?
 
IMG_7050.jpeg

Trump woke up in a mood to tank the markets and relationship with our allies, apparently. Wonder if his night carousing with the top foreign and domestic holders of his meme coin last night encouraged this?


Just yesterday, a Trump voter mentioned to me that it looked like everything had calmed down on the tariff front. I said back, oh really? I had just come from Home Depot and bought three light fixtures, that I know a few weeks back were under $30 and I paid at least $50 for each. Made in China, don't even have to look.

But the amazing thing this morning with Trump's recent post, is that Wall Street really thought Trump was contained on Tariffs. Oopps.
 
The market manipulation couldn’t be more blatant.
Seriously, just imagine if this had happened in May 2021:

1. Biden sells emoluments named Bidencoins to his uber wealthy supporters.
2. While serving as president of the United States, Biden hosts a massive party at his house in Delaware for the richest purchasers of his Bidencoins, many of whom are also among the most active shareholders in the US.
3. THE NEXT MORNING, Biden posts a series of tweets that send the market plummeting, which creates buying opportunities for those with massive cash holdings (i.e., the people who had been eating caviar with him the night before).

This is why I can't take people like Ramrouser seriously. We've never seen anything remotely like this. It's corruption and grift at an unlimited scale. Anyone who tries to defend it deserves to be ignored.
 
Just yesterday, a Trump voter mentioned to me that it looked like everything had calmed down on the tariff front. I said back, oh really? I had just come from Home Depot and bought three light fixtures, that I know a few weeks back were under $30 and I paid at least $50 for each. Made in China, don't even have to look.

But the amazing thing this morning with Trump's recent post, is that Wall Street really thought Trump was contained on Tariffs. Oopps.
Republicans and conservatives keep maintaining this delusion that they have him under control, and then he does something they didn't anticipate out of impulse or vindictiveness or sheer buffoonery. They created this Frankenstein monster and then keep realizing over and over again that they can't really control him; nobody does, except maybe Putin and the Saudis and a few other wealthy authoritarians.
 
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