Trump Voters already having buyer’s remorse.

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korgguy1971 said:
"You, like MAGA, can choose to believe whatever you like" - is unambiguously snarky and there's no need to spin it otherwise. Let's just forget about it and move on. Also, I did tag my last sentence in that original post with "(/s)" for sarcasm.

As for "who," I was thinking more along the lines of bots padding/artificially skewing search results - which has definitely been done before. But I do concede that I'm not sure what a reason to do this would be. The graph in your OP seems legit, but I would just prefer some greater transparency into the data before putting a pin in it.
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No spin needed. It was not intended to be snarky. I’ll say again, I can totally see how you would feel that way.
 
"Post decision making cognitive dissonance" It's human nature. I studied this in my first Psych course in summer school in 1974.
helpfulprofessor.com

Post-Decision Dissonance: Definition and Examples

Post-decision dissonance refers to the psychological discomfort or inner conflict that a person may experience after deciding between multiple options. This discomfort arises from the belief that there might have been better alternatives available that
helpfulprofessor.com helpfulprofessor.com
 
Paine said:
I’m specifically talking about tuition free public colleges and universities and a single-payer Medicare for All system. She didn’t run on either of these.

As for the others, a lot of those were Biden policies that Harris seemed to tacitly endorse, like the late-breaking rent cap policy that she never talked about afterwards.

She can say she’s for these polices in a manual or platform that no one reads, but if she doesn’t talk about it on the stump or bring the message to the media, then there’s no way for it to break through to regular people.

Her stump speech is easily available for us all to look at. She gave basically the same version for the entire campaign. I didn’t hear her talk once about the PRO Act on the stump, for instance. She had time to campaign with Liz Cheney multiple times but not Shaun Fain or Bernie Sanders?

Again, it’s all about how you message your support for these policies.
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She certainly pushed for tuition free community college tuition and college debt forgiveness:


She certainly had a national single payer health care system policy:

www.americanactionforum.org

Medicare for All: The Harris Plan - AAF

This report analyzes Medicare for All’s impact on health coverage, provider access, productivity, and budget.
www.americanactionforum.org www.americanactionforum.org

You can hear her talk about the PRO ACT here:

 
Paine said:
Both of the articles you linked are about things Harris either supported in Congress or in her 2019 campaign. She did not campaign on these in 2024.

I stand corrected on her mentioning the PRO Act once. It’s not inaccurate at all to say she did not center her campaign on discussing unions, why they’re important, and how they help the working class. Telling people she’ll make it easier to join a union doesn’t move the needle when most people don’t even know what unions do anymore.

This stuff requires communication. She failed to communicate. Partially through existing factors beyond her control and partially through her campaign’s own strategy.
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I don't exactly understand your point so I don't know if this is appropriate but , IRL construction, you approach a brick or concrete wall by focusing on a single point until you break through. That weakens the whole structure and it gets easier as you go. She never got that breakthrough and mostly through those existing factors.
 
Paine said:
Both of the articles you linked are about things Harris either supported in Congress or in her 2019 campaign. She did not campaign on these in 2024.

I stand corrected on her mentioning the PRO Act once. It’s not inaccurate at all to say she did not center her campaign on discussing unions, why they’re important, and how they help the working class. Telling people she’ll make it easier to join a union doesn’t move the needle when most people don’t even know what unions do anymore.

This stuff requires communication. She failed to communicate. Partially through existing factors beyond her control and partially through her campaign’s own strategy.
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Free college tuition was not on the list of that survey but her policy for tuition free community college and loan forgiveness was her policy in this campaign

Medicare For All was not on that list of that survey but development of a national single payer system for health care was a policy in her campaign

I think she pretty much addressed all of those issues listed in the survey in her campaign
 
Paine said:
But she also never focused on a specific point in an attempt to break through. Instead she tried to focus on lightly tapping around all the spots of the wall in hopes that it would collapse.
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I can't speak to that because, while I've never missed an election, I've never listened to a campaign speech. I look at who who I can stand as a person, who is most likely to move the country in the direction I think we should go and who has a chance to win and support what I think is the best combination of those. So, I don't know what she campaigned on. Otoh, from the things I've read, and I do read, the things you are suggesting aren't even strong in the middle.
 
Maybe I'm wrong because I certainly haven't done the research but if you arranged the registered voters in America in a graph and survey that middle 20% , how do you think the free tuition and one payer health care would rate? I don't see those as strong enough to move the needle or be breakthrough issues.

I'd support them, surely, but I'm some left of that.
 
I think that is the gist of this miscommunic
finesse said:
Maybe I'm wrong because I certainly haven't done the research but if you arranged the registered voters in America in a graph and survey that middle 20% , how do you think the free tuition and one payer health care would rate? I don't see those as strong enough to move the needle or be breakthrough issues.

I'd support them, surely, but I'm some left of that.
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I think the gist of conversations with Paine. His view of that 20% is so different from yours, and mine. It colors everything he does.
 
Paine said:
I stand corrected on her mentioning the PRO Act once. It’s not inaccurate at all to say she did not center her campaign on discussing unions, why they’re important, and how they help the working class. Telling people she’ll make it easier to join a union doesn’t move the needle when most people don’t even know what unions do anymore.

This stuff requires communication. She failed to communicate. Partially through existing factors beyond her control and partially through her campaign’s own strategy.
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1. Now your argument is that people don't know what unions do? That is not a problem that can be addressed during a presidential campaign. Maybe the unions need to be doing more, then.

2. But I call BS on that. I saw yesterday that Michigan Democrats lost the state house. They won the state house in 2022 and proceeded to repeal right-to-work legislation. You cannot say that people don't understand that. Repealing right-to-work legislation has been the #1 legislative action item for unions for decades. In Michigan, they finally got it done. And then they lost.

And it's not hard to anticipate how the actual union members voted. Not only do we have exit polls and the like, but we have evidence from the unions. Several said, we're not endorsing you because our members don't really support you, Kamala. Those were not scientific surveys but they tell the same story. If union members had voted blue, the Michigan Dems would have kept the legislature.

3. Now I suppose this doesn't specifically prove anything. But you and I have competing narratives of the election, and these are the data points to which I look. I think the Trump campaign was a paroxysm of hate that attracted lots of working class people because they are hateful. And what happened in Michigan is easy to explain on my narrative. Your narrative requires a whole bunch of weird hoops. Sure union members didn't vote for Kamala but that's because they didn't understand the issues because she didn't talk about them and I guess nobody at their union talked about them either and nobody explained to the union members why unions were good and . . . . the Michigan Democrats repealed right to work and lost. There is no clearer test case than that.

4. I see also that the GOP took Elissa Slotkin's old House district. I did a little bit of looking at this Curtis Hertel fellow who could pull 46% of the vote. He was an architect of the Gotion battery plant in upstate Michigan. The ads against him "hammered" him on that. Literally the GOP was running ads against the guy who helped bring a massive manufacturing plant with thousands of jobs to Michigan. To a rural area where unemployment is high.

Literally the Gotion plant is everything the "economic anxiety" folks say they want. Good manufacturing jobs in a rural area to provide steady middle class employment for people regardless of college degree. If you could shape something in a laboratory to appeal to rust belt white men, this was it. I mean, duh, that's why they did it.

And the GOP rejected it. The GOP's WWC voters rejected it. Now again, maybe you can come up with a whole bunch of reasons why they didn't know what it did or understand it (I doubt it; there were lots of rallies and either Trump or Vance campaigned near there in opposition to the factory IIRC). I can't prove anything.

But when you look at these results, and you look at the campaign Trump ran, and you look at the GOP across the nation, and you think about the campaigns that Trump previously ran, and you think about the history of racial politics in places like Michigan . . . well, Occam's razor man. It literally sounds like racism, talks like racism, looks like racism. Hey, maybe it was racism!!!!
 
Paine said:
The working-class swing voters who actually decide elections in this country broke for Trump. Their politics are much harder to pin down, but usually include elements of anti-populist, anti-elite, anti-establishment sentiment. These policies can come from the left or the right.
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You missed something in those list of adjectives. And on that one, the politics isn't hard to pin down.

Look, if you don't want to agree with me that racism was the #1 factor, surely you have to admit that it was a big factor. The hoops you go through trying to avoid the obvious implications of what we saw -- it's just crazy.

If only we had offered free college tuition! Oh, wait, did Big Gretch do that? Was that one of her signature accomplishments? So Dems cleaned up in Michigan? Oh. And Medicare For All? Well, the choice was presented during the election -- and it was in the much-watched debate, so it's not as if this was some nook-and-cranny issue. Continue and strengthen Obamacare, or go with Trump's "concept of a plan" on health care. We literally lost to "concepts of a plan." So what makes you think a robust Medicare If You Want It would have made a difference? Evidence, please.

The problem is that you keep waving your hands and talking in hypotheticals, and some of us more experienced hands keep bringing actual evidence. It cannot be contested that a central appeal of Trumpism to the WWC was the racism. Social scientists have looked at this issue and it's just not open for debate. You can argue, well what about the intensity -- fine, but we now just had a campaign where Trump ran on racism and then a bunch of other goofy shit and he won bigger than in the past. His secret sauce this time was jettisoning all that other crap to focus almost entirely on his cult of personality and the extraordinary xenophobia and racism.

And I mean, look around. Southern states have been waging open war against Black history for the past three years. "Go woke and go broke" is a thing. Why? They were doing all that for shits and giggles? Or because their WWC voters love that shit and can't get enough of it?
 
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