2024 Political Polls

[Wheels81]

I’ve got to think that Kari Lake is going to be a drag on Trump in Arizona. I suppose it could happen, but I have a hard time thinking someone would vote for Trump but also decide that Lake is a bridge too far.

 

[Paine]

Hahahahahahahaha. I sincerely hope Lake is a perennial Republican candidate in AZ.

 

[lawtig02]

Come on NC... Get it together

That’s an extremely strong position for Harris in NC right now.

 

[CFordUNC]

That’s an extremely strong position for Harris in NC right now.

The fact that both Cook and Sabato have officially moved North Carolina from “leans R” to “Toss-Up” is a big deal. Both are generally pretty conservative in their rating prognostications.

 

[BillOfRights]

I’ve got to think that Kari Lake is going to be a drag on Trump in Arizona. I suppose it could happen, but I have a hard time thinking someone would vote for Trump but also decide that Lake is a bridge too far.

Shouldn't the same be true for Robinson in NC?

 

[aGDevil2k]

Shouldn't the same be true for Robinson in NC?

I think so for both.

If they are really down double digits it is trouble for the felon

 

[HeelInTheOzarks]

There’s no damn way that 14% of voters are Trump/Gallego.

 

[aGDevil2k]

Lake is less offensive than Robinson so I could see more splitting in Arizona

It's a low bar

 

[nycfan]

There’s no damn way that 14% of voters are Trump/Gallego.

Similar results in Nevada and NC:



Seems like there are a lot of people who won’t vote for the state-level MAGA candidate but remain all-in on Trump. Pretty sure this tracks some of what HY has been telling people, though includes the Senate candidates (not just state executive offices) out West.

 

[Rock]

 

[BlooVooDoo]

Hogan having control of the chamber would be a great thing for a lot of people in Maryland. Similar to the power Manchin held a couple years ago.

Yeah, the outlook of west Virginians has improved a lot over the last 10 years.

 

[Mundial]

Hogan lost a lot of support with his support for the expansion of I-270 in Montgomery County.

 

[SmilingJack]

Hogan lost a lot of support with his support for the expansion of I-270 in Montgomery County.

Say that in Russian.

 

[Calheel]

Say that in Russian.

I was gonna post that. But I feel that joke has run its course

 

[Mulberry Heel]

I’ve got to think that Kari Lake is going to be a drag on Trump in Arizona. I suppose it could happen, but I have a hard time thinking someone would vote for Trump but also decide that Lake is a bridge too far.

There are polls out showing state Democratic candidates leading by double digits in many of these battleground states, including NC and the governor's race. I doubt that there is that much difference between these senate/gubernatorial races and the presidential race in those states. If Gallego leads Lake by 15 points in AZ then it is unlikely that Harris only leads Trump by 1 point, imo. Either these state races are closer than they appear, or Harris has a larger lead than the 1 to 3 points the polls are currently showing.

 

[BillOfRights]

Could Kamala Harris really win North Carolina — and lose Georgia?

The tale of the tape.

www.natesilver.net

 

[SmilingJack]

I was gonna post that. But I feel that joke has run its course

Milton Berle and Rodney Dangerfield would be proud of me!

 

[nycfan]

Luna is a super-MAGA member of Congress and this is a moderate district, so this is pretty interesting…she helped cap Kevin McCarthy, so I’m sure he would enjoy seeing Luna lose.

 

[nycfan]

 

[Centerpiece]

Say that in Russian.

Хоган потерял большую поддержку из-за поддержки расширения I-270 в округе Монтгомери.