superrific
Master of the ZZLverse
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Hopefully this rings true!
It's not true. Both candidates should be spending a lot of time in NC. It's the second most likely tipping point state. Remember: Trump probably wins if he wins either MI or WI, but not if he loses NC. So let's suppose he has a 60% of winning each of those states. He still needs to be in NC!! And Kamala needs to be all three places because she needs at least two of them.
That is, assuming she loses GA and AZ. But neither of those states is looking great right now. I still have hope in both places, but Biden barely won in those places and they are traditionally R states. You'd expect there to be vote fluctuations, and in a 2 point Trump state, a 1 point Biden victory can happen through turnout effects or issue specificity. The baseline, though, is a slight R lean.
It's like if you have Lebron and AD on your team and they are healthy, that's a great foundation but you can't get wiped out at the other three positions.