I was just reading a guy on Twitter (Swann Marcus) who feels good about Dems winning in Nevada. One of his more recent posts was basically "If Dems turn out the youth vote in Nevada they win; if they don't they lose" and he thinks early returns are good on young voter turnout.
I'm skeptical though, and specifically skeptical because of young males. The Trump campaign, in a number of ways, has basically directed their efforts at young males. Courting Musk's support, going on Rogan, going on Adin Ross's stream, etc - this is all directed at males, and especially 18-29 males. Traditionally a low-propensity voting group. I think there's a very really possibility that the youth vote does turn out like Dem-leaning people are hoping - but that it doesn't end up being nearly as Dem-friendly a demographic as they hope. Females under 30 may break for Kamala at something like a 75/25 rate, but males of that age could easily break for Trump at something like a 60/40 rate or even worse. And that could be enough to push him over the top in swing states like Nevada.
I hope I'm wrong about this. I just think some people are still underrating the extent to which young males in this country have had their attention totally captured by online douchebros.