2024 Pre-Election Political Polls | POLL - Trump would have had 7 point lead over Biden

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05C40 said:
If Harris wins North Carolina, and I will believe it when it happens, then she should send two dozen red roses to Mark Robinson for his successful infiltation and subsequent destruction of the NC-GOP for at least one election cycle. But in all honesty, I think the average Republican in North Carolina will just look at Robinson's antics, think that's what happens when you nominate a . . ., and then pull the lever for every other Republican candidate in the ballot.

I'm moderately surprised that Mecklenburg County Republicans are not howling about how Republican candidates for all the District 27 District Judge races were left off the ballot.
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What do you mean republicans were left off the ballot in judicial races in charlotte?
 
I really hope things have changed because it appears that in 2020, UAs went for Trump over Biden by a pretty substantial margin. If everyone voted among party lines (which we know wasn’t the case), Trump got approximately 55% of the UA vote, Biden got 42%, and the remaining 3% went third party/write-in. If quite a few Republicans opted to vote for Biden in 2020– and I know that was the case among a fairly substantial number of Republicans in urban areas— then UAs favored Trump even more than that 55%.
 
Icky Mettle said:
I really hope things have changed because it appears that in 2020, UAs went for Trump over Biden by a pretty substantial margin. If everyone voted among party lines (which we know wasn’t the case), Trump got approximately 55% of the UA vote, Biden got 42%, and the remaining 3% went third party/write-in. If quite a few Republicans opted to vote for Biden in 2020– and I know that was the case among a fairly substantial number of Republicans in urban areas— then UAs favored Trump even more than that 55%.
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Am curious how many "ancestral Dems" are still out there in the more rural parts of the state that have voted for Trump 1x or 2x now. Know that is especially prominent in many Southern states
 
heel17 said:
Am curious how many "ancestral Dems" are still out there in the more rural parts of the state that have voted for Trump 1x or 2x now. Know that is especially prominent in many Southern states
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Think there's some. Much older Dems that switched back even 20 years ago and never bothered to change party registration status.
 
heel17 said:
Am curious how many "ancestral Dems" are still out there in the more rural parts of the state that have voted for Trump 1x or 2x now. Know that is especially prominent in many Southern states
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I feel like those are almost non-existent now in NC, but I could be wrong.
 


Hard to know whether this is an overall red shift or just GOP using early voting/eliminating Election Day advantage.
 


There were some outlier polls on the AZ senate race yesterday that had Lake tied or winning and Trump with significant lead in AZ, composters wildly disagree on LV metrics there.
 
I don’t know, PA is damn near the whole ball of wax and continues to appear it’s going to trigger numerous 11/5 anxiety episodes, not to mention 85 post election lawsuits.
 
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