2024 Pre-Election Political Polls | POLL - Trump would have had 7 point lead over Biden

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Morning Consult, YouGov Economist, Ipsos are the high quality LV polls that the pros trust. Harris is up 2-4% on those polls and the Battleground States are all margin of error. It's a tie.

Just like the Comey letter stuff, the polls have a phase delay on the impact of Trump's latest insanity, including the Nazi Party like it's 1939 MSG rally. We could see the blowback trends by the weekend.

In 2012 - polls leaned to Romney right before the election

In 2016, both Hillary and Trump believed HRC was going to win.

Trump underperformed as a candidate and influencer in 2018, 2020, 2022.

It's a sprint to the finish.
 
HeelInTheOzarks said:
Nevada turnout has apparently been high in rural areas for early voting and low in the cities. I wonder if that can somewhat explain the gender gap?
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Cacti and jackrabbits live in rural Nevada. Most of the humans are old and gnarly. Nevada is the 2nd least rural state.
 


I don’t see Robinson getting only 31% of the vote even in the current state of affairs, but if it ever could happen to a major party candidate, I guess this is the one.
 
politicalwire.com

Harris Makes Her Stand in the Suburbs

“Kamala Harris is counting on suburban voters to do what they’ve done since Donald Trump won the presidency in 2016: reject him,” Politico reports. “It may be the single most important piece of her electoral
politicalwire.com politicalwire.com

“… The latest Wall Street Journal poll found Harris leading among suburban voters by 7 percentage points, while a Reuters/Ipsos analysis showed the vice president winning suburban households by 6 points.”
 
politicalwire.com

Latest Swing State Polls

ARIZONA: Harris 48%, Trump 47% (CNN) MICHIGAN Harris 47%, Trump 44% (Detroit News) Trump 49%, Harris 48% (Emerson College) Harris 52%, Trump 47% (Susquehanna) NEVADA Trump 48%, Harris 47% (CNN) NORTH CAROLINA Harris 47%, Trump
politicalwire.com politicalwire.com

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nycfan said:
politicalwire.com

Harris Makes Her Stand in the Suburbs

“Kamala Harris is counting on suburban voters to do what they’ve done since Donald Trump won the presidency in 2016: reject him,” Politico reports. “It may be the single most important piece of her electoral
politicalwire.com politicalwire.com

“… The latest Wall Street Journal poll found Harris leading among suburban voters by 7 percentage points, while a Reuters/Ipsos analysis showed the vice president winning suburban households by 6 points.”
Click to expand...
Milwaukee, Detroit, Pittsburgh, Philly, ATL, Phoenix, Vegas suburbs checking in.
 
At this point people are voting who they are going to vote for. I am done worrying. Either Kamala wins or I am done caring for the next 4 years. You either vote for democracy at this point or fuck you. We will see. I will either see you next Wednesday or you will never see me here again. Bye
 
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