2024 Pre-Election Political Polls | POLL - Trump would have had 7 point lead over Biden
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uncjhodges
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80%. The data in Pennsylvania makes it seem like Harris will win.
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What is up with Nevada? Is it young bros? Wtf
EyeballKid
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Maybe a lot of Vegas service workers who misguidedly think Trump’s no-tax-on-tips plan is really gonna help them?
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Or that he would ever even do it. A terrible idea that won’t see the light of day in Congress.
HeelInTheOzarks
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Nevada turnout has apparently been high in rural areas for early voting and low in the cities. I wonder if that can somewhat explain the gender gap?
aGDevil2k
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Are Pennsylvania polls really not good?
Bigs23
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Certain ones.
Duke Mu
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Morning Consult, YouGov Economist, Ipsos are the high quality LV polls that the pros trust. Harris is up 2-4% on those polls and the Battleground States are all margin of error. It's a tie.
Just like the Comey letter stuff, the polls have a phase delay on the impact of Trump's latest insanity, including the Nazi Party like it's 1939 MSG rally. We could see the blowback trends by the weekend.
In 2012 - polls leaned to Romney right before the election
In 2016, both Hillary and Trump believed HRC was going to win.
Trump underperformed as a candidate and influencer in 2018, 2020, 2022.
It's a sprint to the finish.
Just like the Comey letter stuff, the polls have a phase delay on the impact of Trump's latest insanity, including the Nazi Party like it's 1939 MSG rally. We could see the blowback trends by the weekend.
In 2012 - polls leaned to Romney right before the election
In 2016, both Hillary and Trump believed HRC was going to win.
Trump underperformed as a candidate and influencer in 2018, 2020, 2022.
It's a sprint to the finish.
Duke Mu
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Cacti and jackrabbits live in rural Nevada. Most of the humans are old and gnarly. Nevada is the 2nd least rural state.
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Harris Makes Her Stand in the Suburbs
“Kamala Harris is counting on suburban voters to do what they’ve done since Donald Trump won the presidency in 2016: reject him,” Politico reports. “It may be the single most important piece of her electoral
politicalwire.com
“… The latest Wall Street Journal poll found Harris leading among suburban voters by 7 percentage points, while a Reuters/Ipsos analysis showed the vice president winning suburban households by 6 points.”
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Latest Swing State Polls
ARIZONA: Harris 48%, Trump 47% (CNN) MICHIGAN Harris 47%, Trump 44% (Detroit News) Trump 49%, Harris 48% (Emerson College) Harris 52%, Trump 47% (Susquehanna) NEVADA Trump 48%, Harris 47% (CNN) NORTH CAROLINA Harris 47%, Trump
politicalwire.com
Duke Mu
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Milwaukee, Detroit, Pittsburgh, Philly, ATL, Phoenix, Vegas suburbs checking in.Harris Makes Her Stand in the Suburbs
“Kamala Harris is counting on suburban voters to do what they’ve done since Donald Trump won the presidency in 2016: reject him,” Politico reports. “It may be the single most important piece of her electoral
“… The latest Wall Street Journal poll found Harris leading among suburban voters by 7 percentage points, while a Reuters/Ipsos analysis showed the vice president winning suburban households by 6 points.”
Duke Mu
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Looks about right. A margin of error race down to the wire.Latest Swing State Polls
ARIZONA: Harris 48%, Trump 47% (CNN) MICHIGAN Harris 47%, Trump 44% (Detroit News) Trump 49%, Harris 48% (Emerson College) Harris 52%, Trump 47% (Susquehanna) NEVADA Trump 48%, Harris 47% (CNN) NORTH CAROLINA Harris 47%, Trump
theel4life
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At this point people are voting who they are going to vote for. I am done worrying. Either Kamala wins or I am done caring for the next 4 years. You either vote for democracy at this point or fuck you. We will see. I will either see you next Wednesday or you will never see me here again. Bye
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The 2024 polling conundrum Harris leads among highest propensity voters, but Trump has a large lead among the lowest propensity voters
GIFT LINK —> This Time, It May Actually Come Down to Turnout
GIFT LINK —> This Time, It May Actually Come Down to Turnout
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