2024 Pre-Election Political Polls | POLL - Trump would have had 7 point lead over Biden

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Icky Mettle said:
We keep losing? We (meaning the dems) have won 3 of the last 4 presidential elections and 5 out of the last 8. Dem presidential candidates have won the popular vote in 7 out of that last 8 elections. (And I know that winning the popular vote isn’t the same as winning the election, but it does mean you’re getting more people to vote for you.)
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Yeah keep losing wasn’t the right choice of words. My point was really that I don’t think restricting messaging to being about the issues these days is the right move when the other side does nothing but whip their base up into a frenzy with personal attacks. You can’t counter “she’s a communist, she’s gonna let murderers into the country, etc” with “we are gonna raise the child tax credit”.

I think the Harris campaign should have been running ads with 1/6 imagery non stop. All the ads I’m seeing from her(in N.C.) are centered around trump is gonna give the rich tax breaks and impose tariffs and I just see how that is going to sway anyone
 
1moretimeagain said:
When canvassing do you have a checklist of which residences to hit or do you go to every door in the area you’re working?
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Sorry about the delay in responding. The Democratic office assists you in downloading a smartphone app that will show a map of houses in an area that are considered targets. All have at least one resident that is a registered Democrat or Unaffiliated. This does not prevent interactions with another person at the residence that is Republican.

We have knocked on 60 doors over two days canvassing and have had no bad experiences. My wife did say that a white woman driving by did give her a look of displeasure once. We were wearing Harris/Walz tee shirts, so not exactly inconspicuous.

Getting back to the smartphone app, it’s pretty good. The office has you enter a code that displays the target residences on a map with the number of target individuals at the residence inside a bubble. Selecting the bubble displays names of the individuals, the street address, and the latest party affiliation. There is a prepared spill, but I never use it. Results of the visit are logged in blanks and notes can be taken. I used this often to give information that no results blank described. These were things like need for a ride with phone number or listing additional voter counts than those displayed. There are the one-offs too, like talking to a man that was working on his car but his residence was not displayed as a target. His house actually had four straight Democrat voters. He received a grateful handshake and we had a good conversation.

Good stuff!
 
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Sorry, I haven't read all of this thread.

What is your guys's opinion on who wins North Carolina as it stands today?
 
Rock said:
Sorry, I haven't read all of this thread.

What is your guys's opinion on who wins North Carolina as it stands today?
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I think North Carolina goes blue. Trump is obviously a bad enough candidate in his own right and could easily lose North Carolina of his own accord, but I think that having Mark Robinson on the ticket will be the dagger. I don't buy into the notion that there are a whole bunch of Trump-Stein voters out there. I think there are enough Republicans who will vote for Harris/Stein, or who won't vote at all, to help flip North Carolina, which was already the most razor-thin of margins in Trump's favor in 2020. I also think that the heavily-Indian population of the Research Triangle area is an under-appreciated voting bloc with a candidate who is partially Indian-American on the ballot.
 
GQNC said:
Sorry about the delay in responding. The Democratic office assists you in downloading a smartphone app that will show a map of houses in an area that are considered targets. All have at least one resident that is a registered Democrat or Unaffiliated. This does not prevent interactions with another person at the residence that is Republican.

We have knocked on 60 doors over two days canvassing and have had no bad experiences. My wife did say that a white woman driving by did give her a look of displeasure once. We were wearing Harris/Walz tee shirts, so not exactly inconspicuous.

Getting back to the smartphone app, it’s pretty good. The office has you enter a code that displays the target residences on a map with the number of target individuals at the residence inside a bubble. Selecting the bubble displays names of the individuals, the street address, and the latest party affiliation. There is a prepared spill, but I never use it. Results of the visit are logged in blanks and notes can be taken. I used this often to give information that no results blank described. These were things like need for a ride with phone number or listing additional voter counts than those displayed. There are the one-offs too, like talking to a man that was working on his car but his residence was not displayed as a target. His house actually had four straight Democrat voters. He received a grateful handshake and we had a good conversation.

Good stuff!
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Great Gatsby Movie GIF by Sony
 
rodoheel said:
The frustrating part is he's NOT dumb. At least not in my opinion. This is willful ignorance of facts, not just plain dumb ignorance, which to me is even more galling.
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HeelYeah reminds me somewhat of an older friend that used to post on the IC ZZL board. I never read the ZZL back then, but it seems that he must have had some verbal sparring with left leaning posters.

Like HeelYeah he had that strategy of voting D for NC governor but R for all federal offices. Before the days of Tea Party and MAGA he included me on a long right wing email list that always contained horseshit that would have not been received well on the ZZL. I would bite my tongue (not reply) email after email, because I suspected him of being a Pope operative and just wanted to monitor the disinformation. It was not unusual for there to be a Christian Nationalist slant to these emails.

One day I received one when in the right mood and replied to all with attached refuting articles (including one from Snopes). I received blistering replies from a few on the list with one saying he “did not give a god damn about Snopes.” So much for the Christian cloak.

I was immediately removed from the email list. I told this story to the head of the Democratic Party in Johnson City, and she replied that the same thing had happened to her previously.

So yes, willful ignorance appears to be a feature and not a bug.
 
Rock said:
Sorry, I haven't read all of this thread.

What is your guys's opinion on who wins North Carolina as it stands today?
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I think she takes it, especially after the hate orgy yesterday. But it will be close. I'm not confident in this prediction, but of course she doesn't need NC.

Reading news today, I get the impression that Trump is cooked in the Blue Wall.
 
CFordUNC said:
I think North Carolina goes blue. Trump is obviously a bad enough candidate in his own right and could easily lose North Carolina of his own accord, but I think that having Mark Robinson on the ticket will be the dagger. I don't buy into the notion that there are a whole bunch of Trump-Stein voters out there. I think there are enough Republicans who will vote for Harris/Stein, or who won't vote at all, to help flip North Carolina, which was already the most razor-thin of margins in Trump's favor in 2020. I also think that the heavily-Indian population of the Research Triangle area is an under-appreciated voting bloc with a candidate who is partially Indian-American on the ballot.
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I'm curious how much of that Indian RTP population can vote though, I assume the vast majority are here on working visas or in the process of gaining citizenship.
 
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