2024 Pre-Election Political Polls | POLL - Trump would have had 7 point lead over Biden

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politicalwire.com

Harris Makes Her Stand in the Suburbs

“Kamala Harris is counting on suburban voters to do what they’ve done since Donald Trump won the presidency in 2016: reject him,” Politico reports.“It may be the single most important piece of her electoral math. While Donald Trump has made inroads with Black and Latino men, polls in the
politicalwire.com politicalwire.com

“… The latest Wall Street Journal poll found Harris leading among suburban voters by 7 percentage points, while a Reuters/Ipsos analysis showed the vice president winning suburban households by 6 points.”
 
politicalwire.com

Latest Swing State Polls

ARIZONA: Harris 48%, Trump 47% (CNN)MICHIGAN Harris 47%, Trump 44% (Detroit News) Trump 49%, Harris 48% (Emerson College) Harris 52%, Trump 47% (Susquehanna)NEVADA Trump 48%, Harris 47% (CNN)NORTH CAROLINA Harris 47%, Trump 47% (SurveyUSA) Harris 46%, Trump 4
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nycfan said:
politicalwire.com

Harris Makes Her Stand in the Suburbs

“Kamala Harris is counting on suburban voters to do what they’ve done since Donald Trump won the presidency in 2016: reject him,” Politico reports.“It may be the single most important piece of her electoral math. While Donald Trump has made inroads with Black and Latino men, polls in the
politicalwire.com politicalwire.com

“… The latest Wall Street Journal poll found Harris leading among suburban voters by 7 percentage points, while a Reuters/Ipsos analysis showed the vice president winning suburban households by 6 points.”
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Milwaukee, Detroit, Pittsburgh, Philly, ATL, Phoenix, Vegas suburbs checking in.
 
nycfan said:
politicalwire.com

Latest Swing State Polls

ARIZONA: Harris 48%, Trump 47% (CNN)MICHIGAN Harris 47%, Trump 44% (Detroit News) Trump 49%, Harris 48% (Emerson College) Harris 52%, Trump 47% (Susquehanna)NEVADA Trump 48%, Harris 47% (CNN)NORTH CAROLINA Harris 47%, Trump 47% (SurveyUSA) Harris 46%, Trump 4
politicalwire.com politicalwire.com

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Looks about right. A margin of error race down to the wire.
 
At this point people are voting who they are going to vote for. I am done worrying. Either Kamala wins or I am done caring for the next 4 years. You either vote for democracy at this point or fuck you. We will see. I will either see you next Wednesday or you will never see me here again. Bye
 
10/29 NC Turnout data. UA (proportion) gaining rapidly on Dems, Republican turnout still leading overall. Black turnout still under the 11% 2020 difference (9.6% currently)


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Here's 2020
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lightbluenc said:
10/29 NC Turnout data. UA (proportion) gaining rapidly on Dems, Republican turnout still leading overall. Black turnout still under the 11% 2020 difference (9.6% currently)


1730295536109.webp


Here's 2020
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For reference, the voter registration levels have shifted to Unaffiliated since 2020, as well (whatever that means), so would expect a similar shift in turnout.

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nycfan said:
For reference, the voter registration levels have shifted to Unaffiliated since 2020, as well (whatever that means), so would expect a similar shift in turnout.

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How in the hell have pubs added registered voters to the party while dems have lost registered voters?
 
theel4life said:
At this point people are voting who they are going to vote for. I am done worrying. Either Kamala wins or I am done caring for the next 4 years. You either vote for democracy at this point or fuck you. We will see. I will either see you next Wednesday or you will never see me here again. Bye
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Chin up, Queen!
 
GQNC said:
HeelYeah reminds me somewhat of an older friend that used to post on the IC ZZL board. I never read the ZZL back then, but it seems that he must have had some verbal sparring with left leaning posters.

Like HeelYeah he had that strategy of voting D for NC governor but R for all federal offices. Before the days of Tea Party and MAGA he included me on a long right wing email list that always contained horseshit that would have not been received well on the ZZL. I would bite my tongue (not reply) email after email, because I suspected him of being a Pope operative and just wanted to monitor the disinformation. It was not unusual for there to be a Christian Nationalist slant to these emails.

One day I received one when in the right mood and replied to all with attached refuting articles (including one from Snopes). I received blistering replies from a few on the list with one saying he “did not give a god damn about Snopes.” So much for the Christian cloak.

I was immediately removed from the email list. I told this story to the head of the Democratic Party in Johnson City, and she replied that the same thing had happened to her previously.

So yes, willful ignorance appears to be a feature and not a bug.
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Willful ignorance is exactly what it is. But the brainwashed can be deprogrammed under the right circumstances. Like the KKK kid Derek Black who had been groomed to be the next Grand Wizard leader who went to New College in Fla. Outside of the propaganda machine, and making new friends he came to understand and see the truth, the lies and hypocrisy. That is why the Right and DeSantis has been hell bent on destroying New College in particular. It’s retribution.
 
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