2024 Pre-Election Political Polls | POLL - Trump would have had 7 point lead over Biden

[CFordUNC]

 

[nycfan]

 

[nycfan]

 

[aGDevil2k]

All good Harris signs too

 

[CFordUNC]

 

[lightbluenc]

This would be pretty pretty good. Think 2020 black voter share was 18.7%

 

[ZenMode]

Probably because of all the spineless idiots voting 3rd Party.

I said there would be less votes for Republicans and Democrats... And less both overall Because people stay home.

 

[WaynetheDrain]

I said there would be less votes for Republicans and Democrats... And less both overall Because people stay home.

Or vote 3rd Party, like spineless idiots.

 

[nycfan]

 

[aGDevil2k]

Shocked the Latino percentage is so low in the state

 

[HeelInTheOzarks]

Pretty interesting and could lessen the red mirage if a huge chunk of the GOP early votes are just people who always voted on Election Day.

 

[nycfan]

 

[mpaer]

Shocked the Latino percentage is so low in the state

Statewide, 10.7% of North Carolina’s population is Hispanic or Latino, just over half the national average (18.7%).

 

[SnoopRob]

 

[lightbluenc]

Pretty interesting and could lessen the red mirage if a huge chunk of the GOP early votes are just people who always voted on Election Day.

So is the thinking that Pennsylvania Democrats are trying to reverse the "Red mirage" from 2020, where Trump had the lead from ED vote tallies coming in and declared victory (while we had to wait on mail-ins)? So now more Dems are voting Election Day so he can't do this as easily?

 

[dukeman92]

Trump Campaign Pauses Its Premature Celebration

Tara Palmeri: "We’re less than a week from Election Day, and the mood inside the Trump campaign has undergone yet another transformation. Last week, I reported on the preemptive but undeniably palpable sense of euphoria

politicalwire.com

“We’re less than a week from Election Day, and the mood inside the Trump campaign has undergone yet another transformation. Last week, I reported on the preemptive but undeniably palpable sense of euphoria washing over Mar-a-Lago as data rolled in depicting early-voting surges in Nevada, Georgia, and North Carolina.”

“But now, as the early results from Pennsylvania reveal an influx of first-time female voters who will likely break for Harris, a newfound anxiety is taking hold. While Trump continues to claim he has a massive lead, setting the stage to contest any unfavorable result, some in the Mar-a-Lago-sphere are starting to believe that his surge last week was two weeks premature.”

There was no surge.

 

[HeelInTheOzarks]

So is the thinking that Pennsylvania Democrats are trying to reverse the "Red mirage" from 2020, where Trump had the lead from ED vote tallies coming in and declared victory (while we had to wait on mail-ins)? So now more Dems are voting Election Day so he can't do this as easily?

I was thinking the inverse. GOP early vote is up but half of it is former E-day voters where the heavy majority of Dem early vote are people who are repeat early voters. So maybe the overall E-day turnout is lower because more GOP banked votes early. This also lessens the lead Harris would need going into Tuesday, one would think.

 

[HeelInTheOzarks]

There was no surge.

I saw her on a YouTube clip with Steve Schmidt and she seemed super bullish on Trump. Had me wondering who her sources are and why does she think this way. Now in a few days it’s flipped when literally nothing changed.

 

[lawtig02]

Shocked the Latino percentage is so low in the state

The Latino community in NC is far less likely to be citizens than in states like TX and FL. Lots of reasons for that, and most are here legally. They’re just not as likely to be able to vote.

 

[ZenMode]

Or vote 3rd Party, like spineless idiots.

3rd party would be part of the "overall" decrease I predicted.