2024 Pre-Election Political Polls | POLL - Trump would have had 7 point lead over Biden

[Calheel]

We don't disagree. I'm saying that it won't take 4+ days this time because not nearly as many people will be voting by mail. By the Wednesday morning news shows, we'll know who won.

For sure. But @uncgriff said Harris winning NC would make for an "early happy night" with no "need to wait for the central time zone." And that was a tad too optimistic, unless @uncgriff thinks 11 AM EST is an early night.

 

[uncjhodges]

Keep in mind a lot of that is attributed to the growing bro/incel movement fostered by the JoeRogan/Andrew Tate types.

I do alot of betting/draft kings and use a few sites and their discords- places are cess pools of arrogance, homophobia and misogyny.

 

[circlesky88]

How awesome would it be for North Carolina to be the state that knocks him out?

 

[BillOfRights]

Harris Leads Nationally in the Polling Averages

The polling averages all show Kamala Harris with a lead: RealClearPolitics: Harris +1.8 points 538: Harris +3.2 points Nate Silver: Harris +3.5 points The Economist: Harris +3.5 points

politicalwire.com

The polling averages all show Kamala Harris with a lead:

• RealClearPolitics: Harris +1.8 points
• 538: Harris +3.2 points
• Nate Silver: Harris +3.5 points
• The Economist: Harris +3.5 points

The thing that scares me is a three and a half point margin of victory in the national popular vote, sets us up for heartbreak with the electoral college. As her lead in the popular vote grows, that should correlate with movement her way In the swing states, but in the end, how she does in those seven states is all that matters.

 

[thebruinbleedstarheelblue]

More from USA Today:

“…
Among the biggest shifts since June, all outside the poll's margin of error:

• Voters 18 to 34 years old moved from supporting Trump by 11 points to supporting Harris by 13 points, 49%-36%.
• Hispanics, a group the Republican campaign has been cultivating, moved from supporting Trump by two points to supporting Harris by 16 points, 53%-37%.
• Black voters, traditionally one of the most overwhelmingly Democratic groups, moved from supporting Biden by 47 points to supporting Harris by 64 points, 76%-12%. …”

that + abortion is all she wrote.

 

[maxcrowder]

Don't worry about the polls. The Blue Wall and it's over.

 

[aGDevil2k]

Nate Silver is trending .... And seeing lots of folks roasting him

What did he do now?

 

[Healing]

Nate Silver is trending .... And seeing lots of folks roasting him

What did he do now?

I’m assuming it’s because he dropped a right leaning pollster from his model, for having shit data.

 

[Zoo_View]

If the election is that close, Trump will try to steal it.

He’s already trying to steal elections.

And, Republicans like Georgia Governor Brian Kemp, who profess to not like Trump and oppose his efforts to steal elections AFTER the votes are cast, will vote for Trump AND are all-in on suppressing the vote.

 

[mpaer]

He’s already trying to steal elections.

And, Republicans like Georgia Governor Brian Kemp, who profess to not like Trump and oppose his efforts to steal elections AFTER the votes are cast, will vote for Trump AND are all-in on suppressing the vote.

my fantasy is Georgia shows their incompetence to govern by locking up their official count-but it has zero impact on the EC count outcome

 

[HeelInTheOzarks]

Nate Silver is trending .... And seeing lots of folks roasting him

What did he do now?

He also is claiming there’s no good news in state polls for Harris.

 

[1moretimeagain]

It would make for an early happy night. if he wins NC its over, don't need to wait for the central time zone

Oh if Trump loses NC, I’m staying up to take in allll the results.

 

[SmilingJack]

How awesome would it be for North Carolina to be the state that knocks him out?

I know what I'll be singing the next day!

 

[Rock]

 

[altmin]

He also is claiming there’s no good news in state polls for Harris.

 

[Zoo_View]

Tom Selleck would approve good results for Republicans.

 

[uncgriff]

New CNN polls. Need these to be better.

 

[nycfan]

New CNN polls. Need these to be better.

As an aside, it would be so weird to see AZ vote FOR abortion rights, AGAINST Kerri Lake and FOR Donald Trump. Which is something that very well could happen.

 

[uncgriff]

As an aside, it would be so weird to see AZ vote FOR abortion rights, AGAINST Kerri Lake and FOR Donald Trump. Which is something that very well could happen.

Yeah. That's seriously hard to understand

 

[HeelInTheOzarks]

Arizona has definitely been the strangest polling state IMO - you see everything from Gallego over Lake by 12 points to Trump winning by 5-6. There doesn't seem to be any stability in this state between different polls at all.