2024 Pre-Election Political Polls | POLL - Trump would have had 7 point lead over Biden

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Kingpin said:
I find it hard to believe that a majority of 18-34 support Trump at all, much less by 11 pts.
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I think that group, with the economic hardships hitting them the most lately, was so incredibly detached from Biden and his age....
 
Centerpiece said:
DON’T TRUST THE FRIGGIN’ Polls and prognostications.
Simply vote and haul all your friends and neighbors to the polling stations as well. Complacency thinking it’s in the bag will kill you. Remember 2016

apple.news

Don’t Trust the Election Forecasts — POLITICO

The data doesn’t support the obsession with presidential prognostications.
apple.news apple.news
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As I always say, "RUN through the tape!"

Tracee Ellis Ross Yes GIF by ABC Network
 
Bigs23 said:
He’ll likely try to steal it regardless.
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Trump's ego simply cannot handle spending hundreds of millions of dollars in order to lose to a black woman.

There is no way he will accept a loss here, even if it's a landslide.

My hope here is that his supporters will reach a critical mass after a loss, he'll become useless to them, and they will begin to see him as the loser clown conman he's aways been.
 
uncgriff said:
It would make for an early happy night. if he wins NC its over, don't need to wait for the central time zone
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Even if Harris wins NC, it is HIGHLY unlikely to be declared right win polls close. It would likely take several hours at least for a winner to be declared.
 
quakerdevil said:
To be fair we were dealing with an unprecedented amount of mail in voting in 2020. I'll be shocked if we don't know night of in November.
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Mail in voting can be easier to count quickly - depending upon the rules of the state.

But no close state is going to be called when the polls close. Unless the final margin is greater than 5%, it will take hours to call the race.
 
Calheel said:
Mail in voting can be easier to count quickly - depending upon the rules of the state.

But no close state is going to be called when the polls close. Unless the final margin is greater than 5%, it will take hours to call the race.
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We don't disagree. I'm saying that it won't take 4+ days this time because not nearly as many people will be voting by mail. By the Wednesday morning news shows, we'll know who won.
 
quakerdevil said:
We don't disagree. I'm saying that it won't take 4+ days this time because not nearly as many people will be voting by mail. By the Wednesday morning news shows, we'll know who won.
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For sure. But @uncgriff said Harris winning NC would make for an "early happy night" with no "need to wait for the central time zone." And that was a tad too optimistic, unless @uncgriff thinks 11 AM EST is an early night.
 
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