2024 Pre-Election Political Polls | POLL - Trump would have had 7 point lead over Biden

[WaynetheDrain]

How awesome would it be for North Carolina to be the state that knocks him out?

 

[uncgriff]

How awesome would it be for North Carolina to be the state that knocks him out?

It would make for an early happy night. if he wins NC its over, don't need to wait for the central time zone

 

[BillyL]

How awesome would it be for North Carolina to be the state that knocks him out?

Nothing would ever make this Tar Heel boy any happier. Dear Lord, please make it so . .

 

[TarSpiel]

He’ll likely try to steal it regardless.

Trump's ego simply cannot handle spending hundreds of millions of dollars in order to lose to a black woman.

There is no way he will accept a loss here, even if it's a landslide.

My hope here is that his supporters will reach a critical mass after a loss, he'll become useless to them, and they will begin to see him as the loser clown conman he's aways been.

 

[Calheel]

It would make for an early happy night. if he wins NC its over, don't need to wait for the central time zone

Even if Harris wins NC, it is HIGHLY unlikely to be declared right win polls close. It would likely take several hours at least for a winner to be declared.

 

[HeelInTheOzarks]

Even if Harris wins NC, it is HIGHLY unlikely to be declared right win polls close. It would likely take several hours at least for a winner to be declared.

Yeah North Carolina wasn't called last time until multiple days later, was it?

 

[quakerdevil]

Yeah North Carolina wasn't called last time until multiple days later, was it?

To be fair we were dealing with an unprecedented amount of mail in voting in 2020. I'll be shocked if we don't know night of in November.

 

[Calheel]

To be fair we were dealing with an unprecedented amount of mail in voting in 2020. I'll be shocked if we don't know night of in November.

Mail in voting can be easier to count quickly - depending upon the rules of the state.

But no close state is going to be called when the polls close. Unless the final margin is greater than 5%, it will take hours to call the race.

 

[quakerdevil]

Mail in voting can be easier to count quickly - depending upon the rules of the state.

But no close state is going to be called when the polls close. Unless the final margin is greater than 5%, it will take hours to call the race.

We don't disagree. I'm saying that it won't take 4+ days this time because not nearly as many people will be voting by mail. By the Wednesday morning news shows, we'll know who won.

 

[Calheel]

We don't disagree. I'm saying that it won't take 4+ days this time because not nearly as many people will be voting by mail. By the Wednesday morning news shows, we'll know who won.

For sure. But @uncgriff said Harris winning NC would make for an "early happy night" with no "need to wait for the central time zone." And that was a tad too optimistic, unless @uncgriff thinks 11 AM EST is an early night.

 

[uncjhodges]

Keep in mind a lot of that is attributed to the growing bro/incel movement fostered by the JoeRogan/Andrew Tate types.

I do alot of betting/draft kings and use a few sites and their discords- places are cess pools of arrogance, homophobia and misogyny.

 

[circlesky88]

How awesome would it be for North Carolina to be the state that knocks him out?

 

[BillOfRights]

Harris Leads Nationally in the Polling Averages

The polling averages all show Kamala Harris with a lead: RealClearPolitics: Harris +1.8 points 538: Harris +3.2 points Nate Silver: Harris +3.5 points The Economist: Harris +3.5 points

politicalwire.com

The polling averages all show Kamala Harris with a lead:

• RealClearPolitics: Harris +1.8 points
• 538: Harris +3.2 points
• Nate Silver: Harris +3.5 points
• The Economist: Harris +3.5 points

The thing that scares me is a three and a half point margin of victory in the national popular vote, sets us up for heartbreak with the electoral college. As her lead in the popular vote grows, that should correlate with movement her way In the swing states, but in the end, how she does in those seven states is all that matters.

 

[thebruinbleedstarheelblue]

More from USA Today:

“…
Among the biggest shifts since June, all outside the poll's margin of error:

• Voters 18 to 34 years old moved from supporting Trump by 11 points to supporting Harris by 13 points, 49%-36%.
• Hispanics, a group the Republican campaign has been cultivating, moved from supporting Trump by two points to supporting Harris by 16 points, 53%-37%.
• Black voters, traditionally one of the most overwhelmingly Democratic groups, moved from supporting Biden by 47 points to supporting Harris by 64 points, 76%-12%. …”

that + abortion is all she wrote.

 

[maxcrowder]

Don't worry about the polls. The Blue Wall and it's over.

 

[aGDevil2k]

Nate Silver is trending .... And seeing lots of folks roasting him

What did he do now?

 

[Healing]

Nate Silver is trending .... And seeing lots of folks roasting him

What did he do now?

I’m assuming it’s because he dropped a right leaning pollster from his model, for having shit data.

 

[Zoo_View]

If the election is that close, Trump will try to steal it.

He’s already trying to steal elections.

And, Republicans like Georgia Governor Brian Kemp, who profess to not like Trump and oppose his efforts to steal elections AFTER the votes are cast, will vote for Trump AND are all-in on suppressing the vote.

 

[mpaer]

He’s already trying to steal elections.

And, Republicans like Georgia Governor Brian Kemp, who profess to not like Trump and oppose his efforts to steal elections AFTER the votes are cast, will vote for Trump AND are all-in on suppressing the vote.

my fantasy is Georgia shows their incompetence to govern by locking up their official count-but it has zero impact on the EC count outcome

 

[HeelInTheOzarks]

Nate Silver is trending .... And seeing lots of folks roasting him

What did he do now?

He also is claiming there’s no good news in state polls for Harris.