2024 Pre-Election Political Polls | POLL - Trump would have had 7 point lead over Biden

[Calheel]

Nobody should care about Rasmussen polls as their credibility has long since been dismissed. 538 no longer includes them in the aggregate because of their unwillingness to maintain strict standards in methodology and objectivity.

Feel free to read for yourself: https://archive.ph/BNR01

Oh I know. Rasmussen used to be a slight R in the 90s/00s, and then decided there was more money in the skewed poll business. Not defending their polling. Just pointing out that NYC posted a month old tweet.

 

[Bigs23]

The always impartial Rasmussen polls.

Update:

 

[nycfan]

Pollster ratings:

Pollster Ratings

FiveThirtyEight’s pollster ratings are calculated by analyzing the historical accuracy and methodology of each firm’s polls.

projects.fivethirtyeight.com

 

[Zoo_View]

What was the name of the Bib Overall guy with the little paper out of North Chatham . I seem to remember shortly before the Hunt-Helms Senate election he ran an article about "lots of young boys go in and out of the back door of Hunt's Executive mansion"

Cousin Chub Seawell?

From Carthage in Moore County.

 

[Zoo_View]

Take out that 8% and Kamala’s around 50%. RFK will almost certainly drop to 2% max, so if Kamala can get most of that, she would win. Just a moment in time, of course.

The majority of Kennedy voters will mark Trump on their ballots.

 

[Bigs23]

The majority of Kennedy voters will mark Trump on their ballots.

If so it will be a very small majority.

 

[aGDevil2k]

Update:

Why has it narrowed by 4?

 

[Bigs23]

Why has it narrowed by 4?

Recent money being put on trump to win.

 

[nycfan]

Harris up 2 in N.C. but down 4 in Georgia doesn’t quite feel right … but maybe the indictment in Georgia is somehow helping Trump there?

 

[nycfan]

Gift Link: Harris Puts Four Sun Belt States Back in Play, Times/Siena Polls Find



“… That marks a significant improvement for Democrats compared with May, when Mr. Trump led Mr. Biden 50 percent to 41 percent across Arizona, Georgia and Nevada in the previous set of Times/Siena Sun Belt polls, which did not include North Carolina…”

 

[HeelInTheOzarks]

Harris up 2 in N.C. but down 4 in Georgia doesn’t quite feel right … but maybe the indictment in Georgia is somehow helping Trump there?

Also feels weird to see Nevada that far right of Arizona.

 

[nycfan]

 

[altmin]

Harris up 2 in N.C. but down 4 in Georgia doesn’t quite feel right … but maybe the indictment in Georgia is somehow helping Trump there?

Up in NC, but down in Nevada is even more strange, especially when you consider the Senate race numbers in NV.

 

[nycfan]

 

[aGDevil2k]

The thing Nevada and Georgia have in common is a massive, multi cultural metro area that is completely unlike the rest of the state.

I wonder if that makes them harder to poll well.

 

[UNCBAdookJD]

NC Polling ahead of Georgia is kind of blowing my mind

Mark Robinson is dragging down Trump.

 

[Carolina Fever]

The thing Nevada and Georgia have in common is a massive, multi cultural metro area that is completely unlike the rest of the state.

I wonder if that makes them harder to poll well.

In other words, rural areas with mostly white folks drag down states and the country.

 

[Milk and Cookies]

In other words, rural areas with mostly white folks drag down states and the country.

Have you heard conservatives talk about wanting to change the electoral college to give one vote per county? They say this with a straight face.

 

[Healing]

Have you heard conservatives talk about wanting to change the electoral college to give one vote per county? They say this with a straight face.

Texas

Texas GOP amendment would stop Democrats winning any state election

A Texas Republican proposal would require anyone holding statewide office to have the support of a majority of Texas counties.

www.newsweek.com

"The Republican Party of Texas has voted on a policy proposal that would require any candidate for statewide office to win in a majority of the state's 254 counties to secure election, effectively preventing Democrats from winning statewide positions based on the current distribution of their support."

 

[mpaer]

Texas

Texas GOP amendment would stop Democrats winning any state election

A Texas Republican proposal would require anyone holding statewide office to have the support of a majority of Texas counties.

www.newsweek.com

"The Republican Party of Texas has voted on a policy proposal that would require any candidate for statewide office to win in a majority of the state's 254 counties to secure election, effectively preventing Democrats from winning statewide positions based on the current distribution of their support."

I assume the Texas Highest Court has given an advanced go-ahead