This poll result is the epitome of what triggers my "nothing fucking matters" impulse. The idea ttump is this close to a second, and unquestionable humanitarian disaster, term fans my misanthropy. It's a real energy diversion effort to fully activate my executive function and tell myself "This is one data point. The NYT has gone all in on bosiding. Polling appears more erratic this year than ever. You don't have to be a prisoner of your amygdala and hypothalamus."
It's not only that the House decided the election at that point, it would be that we would get there due to Nebraska changing their election laws in Sept/Oct to benefit Trump and that again a winner of the popular vote would be left outside the WH due to the EC.
Yeah, just view it all in the context of MOE and overall trends. AZ is definitely a challenge for Kamala, but it helps that the nut job Lake will also be on the ballot there. AZ is also not critical. I feel very good about MI and WI. I feel surprisingly good about NC, especially with the high probability more horrible stuff comes out about Robinson soon (there’s a reason for the resignations this weekend). Kamala is likely the slight favorite right now in PA and NV, and GA has generally broken to the Dems recently. So we’re in good shape. It’s not a done deal by any means, but we’re now less than a month and a half out, and 90% of the trends favor Kamala. Totally fine and rational to be terrified right now, but this election is ours for the taking.
Because land doesn’t vote. People do.
Yeah, rationally I get it. Also, my 2016 election night experience will linger, probably for my lifetime. I was particularly pessimistic about what a ttump admin would likely entail and he outdid my expectations by A LOT.
That's a lot of coin flips.
Harris doesn’t do well with white working class voters
Don’t let the polls get you down. They don’t mean that much.
I assumed we already dispensed with the notion the NYT is a non-partisan source?
I was giving them a sliver. I might as well call it a Silver and be done with them
1. If the NYT has a partisan lean, it's definitely not for the Pubs. Maybe you're thinking of a rooting interest, ideology or sour grapes? All of which (save possibly the latter) are also implausible, but it defies belief that the paper that has pretty much defined centrist Democrat for generations has suddenly gone MAGA.
Doesn’t the NYT have a beef with Biden/Harris?
They haven't kissed the ring of The New York Times with a sit down interview. It has leaked that the publisher is not happy about that.
