2024 Pre-Election Political Polls | POLL - Trump would have had 7 point lead over Biden

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1moretimeagain said:
In Charlotte, I see far more Dem signs than Republican. but overall there seem to be significantly fewer signs than for prior elections.
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In my neighborhood I'd say I've seen fewer Trump signs than in 2020, but there's still a good number of Trump flags and yard signs. One encouraging sign is that I've definitely seen more Harris signs than I did Biden signs in 2020. Overall a slight drop in Trump signs and a definite increase in Harris/Walz signs. I'm doubtful as to whether this is any real indicator of the eventual voting results here, imo. Overall I'd say my neighborhood is pretty much 50/50, with maybe a slight GOP lean.

One thing this has made me remember is that in 2020 right before the election I remember turning into a Harris Teeter grocery store near us and some grizzled coot/redneck in an old pickup truck flying a big Trump 2020 flag in the back was yelling at people out his window like a crazy man "VOTE FOR TRUMP!" as he drove around the parking lot and finally pulled into the street and left. How a man like Trump can inspire such crazed devotion and enthusiasm is beyond me.
 
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Anyone in NC recall the trump trains? The parade of pick up trucks with trump flags waving as vehicle after vehicle went through the streets? How about the boat flotillas on Lake Norman? (or any other lake, inlet or sound near the coast). Anyone see that action? Yeah. It was a thing. I have yet to see that so far this election season...
 
altmin said:
I really don't think the betting market data is useful. I am not sure why Luntz is going down that road. The people who profit off this move the lines in order to get bets as close to 50-50 as possible. Who know what math they are using if any, besides trying to influence the people putting money down.
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Luntz is such a partisan tool. He's had some posts where he seems to be critical of Trump and praising the Harris campaign, and then he'll suddenly turn around and post stuff like this. I think he's still a Republican to the core and a covert Trump supporter, but he knows how that looks to his buddies in blue suburbs where he lives so he dissembles and tries to play both sides. I wouldn't trust him or his focus groups of "undecideds" as far as I could throw my car, though.
 
nycfan said:
Blue poll

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I remember back in the 80s and even 90s there were far fewer polling sites than today. I think one big problem with modern polling is that there's so damn many polls now, and it's sometimes difficult to separate the credible ones from the less-legit ones. IMO, some polling organizations now are just as partisan as news organizations (say, Rasmussen), and so their polling results are dubious at best because they're deliberately skewed to the right or left. It's almost like sensory overload at this point. I'm beginning to think that early voting results may be a better indicator of where we're heading in this election than polling averages.
 
1moretimeagain said:
One house on a road I drive down regularly has a Trump sign and also a “Amybody But Biden” sign. I’m always tempted to stop and tell him the good news.
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From your previous posts, it sounds like you’re in Charlotte. Is that the house in the Belmont neighborhood, on Hawthorne near Belvedere? I’ve seen that “Anybody But Biden” sign there for about the past 4 years.
 
Red poll predicting a huge amount of split tickets for national offices in AZ — we have a similar (but maybe more likely?) split ticket dynamic in N.C. with the national and state executive.

 
RockyMtnHoo said:
Honestly not sure what to take from all the different polls. My gut tells me Harris doesn’t win if it’s close. Either Trump wins a close one, or the polling is off a bit and Harris wins fairly comfortably like Obama 2008.
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Polls dont know what the turnout may be like. The grassroots and small donations (that really favored Trump 8 years ago) are with her now.
Also, R pollsters are flooding things to make him seem in good shape. Why? When they lose they can cry foul. It's their strategy.
 
HeelingAg said:
Don’t act like you haven’t missed a listicle blogger being propped up as an expert on every cnn show.
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I stopped watching CNN when they tried to go right under the former guy.

Then when they freaking neutered NYE

Drunk Don Lemon was amazing
 
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