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2024 Presidential Election | ELECTION DAY 2024

  • Thread starter Thread starter nycfan
  • Start date Start date
  • Replies: 8K
  • Views: 285K
  • Politics 
Ddseddse said:
Just got in from setting up the Dem booth at the local precinct. Looking good out there. Keep the faith no matter what happens today. A little Kipling seems appropriate for today:

If you can keep your head when all about you
Are losing theirs and blaming it on you,
If you can trust yourself when all men doubt you,
But make allowance for their doubting too;
If you can wait and not be tired by waiting,
Or being lied about, don’t deal in lies,
Or being hated, don’t give way to hating,
And yet don’t look too good, nor talk too wise:

If you can dream—and not make dreams your master;
If you can think—and not make thoughts your aim;
If you can meet with Triumph and Disaster
And treat those two impostors just the same;
If you can bear to hear the truth you’ve spoken
Twisted by knaves to make a trap for fools,
Or watch the things you gave your life to, broken,
And stoop and build ’em up with worn-out tools:

If you can make one heap of all your winnings
And risk it on one turn of pitch-and-toss,
And lose, and start again at your beginnings
And never breathe a word about your loss;
If you can force your heart and nerve and sinew
To serve your turn long after they are gone,
And so hold on when there is nothing in you
Except the Will which says to them: ‘Hold on!’

If you can talk with crowds and keep your virtue,
Or walk with Kings—nor lose the common touch,
If neither foes nor loving friends can hurt you,
If all men count with you, but none too much;
If you can fill the unforgiving minute
With sixty seconds’ worth of distance run,
Yours is the Earth and everything that’s in it,
And—which is more—you’ll be a Man, my son!
Click to expand...
I applaud the vibe here but whether we walk with Kings, today it’s the Queens who will lead us.
 
In 2020, we were warned that election night would lean to Trump, but because mail-in votes hadn’t been counted yet in some states.
Is the same thing expected this year, or was just that a COVID-era thing?
 
ChileG said:
In 2020, we were warned that election night would lean to Trump, but because mail-in votes hadn’t been counted yet in some states.
Is the same thing expected this year, or was just that a COVID-era thing?
Click to expand...
In PA it is correct
 
ZenMode said:
Well, it's over. Trump is winning.

Thailand’s viral baby hippo Moo Deng predicts Donald Trump will win 2024 US presidential election
www.foxnews.com

Thailand’s viral baby hippo Moo Deng predicts Donald Trump will win 2024 US presidential election

Thailand’s viral baby hippo, Moo Deng, revealed her prediction for the 2024 U.S. presidential election. She "predicted" Donald Trump will win over Kamala Harris.
www.foxnews.com www.foxnews.com
Click to expand...
The sad part is there are probably hundreds of people who will change their vote to Trump because of this. Americans are that stupid.
 
Who Is Favored To Win The 2024 Presidential Election?
538 uses polling, economic and demographic data to explore likely election outcomes.

Harris wins 50 times out of 100
in our simulations of the 2024 presidential election.
Trump wins 49 times out of 100.
There is a less than 1-in-100 chance of no Electoral College winner.

Harris 503
Trump 495
No winner 2
1,000 simulations

Screenshot_20241105_065013_Chrome.jpg

projects.fivethirtyeight.com

ABC News – Breaking News, Latest News and Videos

ABC News is your trusted source on political news stories and videos. Get the latest coverage and analysis on everything from the Trump presidency, Senate, House and Supreme Court.
projects.fivethirtyeight.com projects.fivethirtyeight.com
 
That's a pretty big parlay. They have to read it. They have to believe it. They have to be registered. They have to be willing to go out and vote and they have to have not already voted. I think I can avoid getting concerned about this one.
 
Random tidbit to provide a small ray of hope, my brother went shrimping in SC this past weekend with his two life-long best friends. They are hardcore republicans and have voted R their entire lives. My brother's plan was to not even bring up politics because he assumed they were voting Trump, he was wrong. Apparently they pulled the lever for Harris and "can't stand what Trump has done to this country". May there be another 5 million like them.
 
ChileG said:
In 2020, we were warned that election night would lean to Trump, but because mail-in votes hadn’t been counted yet in some states.
Is the same thing expected this year, or was just that a COVID-era thing?
Click to expand...
It is expected to a certain extent (Trump leads in polling among those who haven’t voted yet) but nobody thinks the red margins will be as large because so many GOP voters have voted early compared to 2020 and mail-in voting has declined significantly in most states that are not primarily mail vote states.

But another complicating factor is substantial changes in registration that no one understands just yet — swing states have seen a surge in GOP and unaffiliated registrations, and we won’t really know what that means until we get election results. It is making it very hard to guess how early voters are voting.
 
On a side note, when did election day become Super Bowl Sunday on steroids? CNN started election day coverage at 5am my time and is running it continuously, all day. WTF?
 
I don’t see any need to pay attention to election coverage until the polls close tonight. I have no desire to watch breathless coverage of basically nothing from people with no news who are standing in front of polling places all day. They will offer anecdotes of random voters who agreed to talk to them when leaving the polls and will offer nothing of significance. I’d rather reorganize my pantry.
 
nycfan said:
It is expected to a certain extent (Trump leads in polling among those who haven’t voted yet) but nobody thinks the red margins will be as large because so many GOP voters have voted early compared to 2020 and mail-in voting has declined significantly in most states that are not primarily mail vote states.

But another complicating factor is substantial changes in registration that no one understands just yet — swing states have seen a surge in GOP and unaffiliated registrations, and we won’t really know what that means until we get election results. It is making it very hard to guess how early voters are voting.
Click to expand...
Except for the polls of those who have voted are much stronger than R vs D would indicate (esp in battleground states)
 
ChileG said:
In 2020, we were warned that election night would lean to Trump, but because mail-in votes hadn’t been counted yet in some states.
Is the same thing expected this year, or was just that a COVID-era thing?
Click to expand...
Dems will still have an edge on mail-in ballots, but Reps have focused more on early and mail voting so it probably won't be as big. Question is whether that will actually make a difference, or will just cannibalize election day R votes.

Pennsylvania is one of the states where mail-in ballots can't be counted until polls close, so the mail in ballots will be counted last, and they will lean Dem overall. The only question is by how much. Registered Ds submitted about 405k more mail ballots than registered Rs, but we don't know how many crossover ballots there will be and there were also hundreds of thousands of independent ballots cast and who knows which direction they'll lean.
 
CHAMTRAIN said:
Random tidbit to provide a small ray of hope, my brother went shrimping in SC this past weekend with his two life-long best friends. They are hardcore republicans and have voted R their entire lives. My brother's plan was to not even bring up politics because he assumed they were voting Trump, he was wrong. Apparently they pulled the lever for Harris and "can't stand what Trump has done to this country". May there be another 5 million like them.
Click to expand...
Basically this is the key. Women and disaffected Republicans. Maybe now Puerto Ricans are on our side. Can they outnumber the MAGA, the working class who are feeling inflation, the evangelicals, the bro-verse, the racists?
 
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