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EXIT POLLS & TURNOUT DATA - The Red Shift

  • Thread starter Thread starter nycfan
  • Start date Start date
  • Replies: 627
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  • Politics 
I could see MAGAs starting to select Democracy as their top issue, only to trigger their brain to fire off “We’re a Republic, not a Democracy” and they proceed to choose a different option
 
rodoheel said:
"Only about one-third of voters in this year’s election think the economy is in good or excellent shape, according to the initial results of CNN’s national exit poll of voters in this year’s presidential election, down from about half who said the same in 2020. About one-third say the economy is not so good, and another third that it’s poor.

Just one-quarter of voters say they’re personally better off than they were four years ago, with about 45% saying they’re worse off, and about 3 in 10 that they’re doing about the same. In 2020 exit polling, about 4 in 10 said they were doing better, and just 20% that they were worse off."

(That's from the CNN website.) Not saying Dems can't win with these numbers but this is just further confirmation of how many Americans live in an alternate reality. It's hard to see how the economy could be in any better shape at a macro level but 2/3 of Americans think it's "not so good" or "poor." You cannot make an objective case that the economy as a whole is anything other than "good" right now. But voters still generally see the economy as bad because they see themselves as doing poorly.
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Many Americans who aren't a millionaire believe the economy is shit because they deserve to be one but aren't
 
Georgia exit poll data on hurricane response looked better for Trump. Will post when I find it.
 
superrific said:
If their personal finances suck, they certainly aren't acting that way. Economists always prefer revealed preferences to stated ones, which is a fancy way of saying, "watch what they do, not what they say"
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Why do you think folks aren't acting that way?
 
Mulberry Heel said:
Apparently so, and unfortunately that may not be a good sign for North Carolina if voters here believed that nonsense as well.
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I don’t think it’s that big of a deal. I don’t think we’ve ever had a hurricane response where FEMA and the government weren’t criticized. For it to be only within 3 points, doesn’t seem like it will make any difference in actual votes.
 
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If this holds, Trump runs away with Georgia. 20-point flip of independents from 2020 — Biden was +9 with independents.
 
HeelYeah2012 said:
Exactly. Almost nobody is against “democracy” - they just think the other side is the side that is a threat to democracy.
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One side, your side, tried to overturn the 2020 election.

Your side attacked the Capitol.

One side says to this day that the 2020 election was fraudulent. That would be your side.
 
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