EXIT POLLS & TURNOUT DATA - The Red Shift

[rodoheel]

Early vibes in Georgia are not good at all, but Atlanta metro could still save us. Need HUGE turnout there.

Need some good NC news to hold the bad vibes back.

 

[nycfan]

Early vibes in Georgia are not good at all, but Atlanta metro could still save us. Need HUGE turnout there.

Need some good NC news to hold the bad vibes back.

Early exit polls from NC are better for Harris than Ga.

 

[lightbluenc]

Seems like rural higher than 2020 for trump so hoping maybe suburban and metro higher for Harris than biden to offset it.

 

[rodoheel]

More bomb threats in GA in the past hour

 

[Carolina Fever]

Harris outperforming older voters in NC. Unfortunately Trump is outperforming younger voters. Seems to be a lot of redneck young guys or incels in the state now.

 

[hedge]

Get fucked incel MAGAts!

They wish...

 

[quakerdevil]

Harris outperforming older voters in NC. Unfortunately Trump is outperforming younger voters. Seems to be a lot of redneck young guys or incels in the state now.

Older voters are more likely to actually show up

 

[quakerdevil]

MSNBC I don't care about these people in line. Can you go back to the data please?!

 

[Mulberry Heel]

I don't get why CNN & MSNBC are actually asking people in a voting line or who have just voted who they voted for and why. Interviewing a couple of people doesn't give any clue as to what's actually going on. I don't care how Billy from suburban Pittsburgh voted - analyze the actual voting results and exit poll data!

 

[quakerdevil]

I don't get why CNN & MSNBC are actually asking people in a voting line or who have just voted who they voted for and why. Interviewing a couple of people doesn't give any clue as to what's actually going on. I don't care how Billy from suburban Pittsburgh voted - analyze the actual voting results and exit poll data!

There's a Kornacki cam on YouTube which just shows his board

 

[Focker]

MSNBC I don't care about these people in line. Can you go back to the data please?!

CNN is better with data / worse w/ analysis

 

[nycfan]

This tracks the NYT polling

 

[superrific]

Y'all, exit polls predict a Kamala win in PA, by 3 points at least

 

[nycfan]

 

[Paine]

Several of us tried to tell y’all to not get your hopes up regarding Florida. No need to freak out about a state that we weren’t going to win. Now can we stop talking about Chris Bouzy?

 

[quakerdevil]

Several of us tried to tell y’all to not get your hopes up regarding Florida. No need to freak out about a state that we weren’t going to win. Now can we stop talking about Chris Bouzy?

I don't think anyone being realistic thought Florida was in play

 

[nycfan]

So far, back of the napkin, Kamala seems to be getting about 90-91% of the votes that Stein is getting (he is in a historically strong position).

Jeff Jackson is at about 93+%, so he is out-performing Harris so far. She is tracking very slightly behind Mo Green as a share of Stein (who is already declare the winner).

 

[Carolina Fever]

No surprise, more educated people vote for Harris, especially college educated women.

 

[lawtig02]

Several of us tried to tell y’all to not get your hopes up regarding Florida. No need to freak out about a state that we weren’t going to win. Now can we stop talking about Chris Bouzy?

And remember, if Trump is +12 or more in Florida, that’s probably good news for Kamala in the swing states.

 

[HeelYeah2012]

So far, back of the napkin, Kamala seems to be getting about 90-91% of the votes that Stein is getting (he is in a historically strong position).

Jeff Jackson is at about 93+%, so he is out-performing Harris so far. She is tracking very slightly behind Mo Green as a share of Stein (who is already declare the winner).

Great data, thanks for doing that math. All makes sense. Looking at vote shares as a % of Stein is a great way to look at NC.