EXIT POLLS & TURNOUT DATA - The Red Shift

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Because they are spending money and have high consumer confidence.
I don't think that consumer confidence is 100% positive.

There are a lot of folks who aren't terribly confident and they're spending because they're living paycheck to paycheck.
 
Bryan Flores in Mecklenburg is my new hero. Or, more appropriately, his girlfriend is my hero.

He wasn't going to vote until his girlfriend made him, but he waited for 2 hours to vote today.

Good job, Bryan!

I just saw that too. Good for her.
 
Says 74% reporting. I mean, maybe not but it's not as if Dems specially killed it in early voting.
Dens traditionally are more likely to EV. We know that may be different this year. But I would still bet on those margins dropping somewhat.
 
The main takeaway I'm seeing from exit polls is immigration running in 4th place as the most important issue. That just isn't what the pre-election polls were finding. I think it was 2nd or 3rd.

Remember: we're trying to compare against the polls. The polls showed a tied race. So if immigration is running 5 points behind the polls, that probably means polls were underestimating Kamala by 2-3.
 
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