Ukraine is daily getting weaker while Russia is steadily getting stronger, and the Russian military has gotten a lot better at what they're doing after the disaster slaughter of the first 2 years. From a technology standpoint, Ukraine was the early innovator in UAVs, but is now firmly behind, and Russian loitering munitions are expanding quickly. Those who only follow MBT innovation miss this. While there's not a tactical collapse of Ukraine's front line yet, it's heading there, and at that point we may even see the number of attacks go down, but the attacks get larger and gain far more ground. Remember what happened after the fall of Ugledar? Russian forces rolled through large areas, whereas before that they spent ~6 months battering their way through Novomikhailovka.
I doubt Ukraine loses the war this year, but you never know with Trump scheming against them every day. They will lose ground, possibly everything south of Kramatorsk if Russia's current efforts pay off they way they seem to intend them to. But depending on just how depleted Ukraine's forces are, next year could be very very grim.