The Weather Thread

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rodoheel said:
On a non-hurricane note (though probably somewhat tied to Milton) it looks like central NC is in for our first stretch of honest-to-goodness fall weather, with highs in the 60s and low 70s and lows in the 40s and 50s over the next week or so. Personally it's my favorite weather of the year, where you can get away with barely running the AC or heat if you leave the windows open. And it's what I think of when I think of football weather - warm-ish in the day but you have to throw on a long-sleeved shirt or light coat when the sun goes down as it gets cool quickly. Also known as great firepit weather.
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If anyone in NC (outside of the mountains) is using AC or heat after today, this week, shame!
 
Why is Milton forecasted to weaken before making landfall?

Also, in terms of forecasting, yesterday or the day before it was forecasted to become a Cat. 3 at the top end……today, it’s a 175 mph Cat. 5.
 
Zoo_View said:
Why is Milton forecasted to weaken before making landfall?

Also, in terms of forecasting, yesterday or the day before it was forecasted to become a Cat. 3 at the top end……today, it’s a 175 mph Cat. 5.
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They go thru cycles. Really hard to stay and maintain cat 5

But anyone suggesting it couldn't end up back there is foolish

24 hours ago it was supposed to max out at 110
 
aGDevil2k said:
They go thru cycles. Really hard to stay and maintain cat 5

But anyone suggesting it couldn't end up back there is foolish

24 hours ago it was supposed to max out at 110
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I don’t recall a storm accelerating this rapidly. Just a few days ago it was a funky little gulf depression that decided to travel the wrong way. Now, it’s looking like the greatest natural calamity to threaten the west coast of Florida in recorded meteorological history.
 
HeelingAg said:
I don’t recall a storm accelerating this rapidly. Just a few days ago it was a funky little gulf depression that decided to travel the wrong way. Now, it’s looking like the greatest natural calamity to threaten the west coast of Florida in recorded meteorological history.
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Wilma was close I think

But Florida should just give Milton back his stapler
 
HeelingAg said:
I don’t recall a storm accelerating this rapidly. Just a few days ago it was a funky little gulf depression that decided to travel the wrong way. Now, it’s looking like the greatest natural calamity to threaten the west coast of Florida in recorded meteorological history.
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The Gulf is a hot tub.
 
Zoo_View said:
Why is Milton forecasted to weaken before making landfall?

Also, in terms of forecasting, yesterday or the day before it was forecasted to become a Cat. 3 at the top end……today, it’s a 175 mph Cat. 5.
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They go through cycles-new eye formation And that frequently changes things
By Tuesday evening it will have westerly winds hit it's rear end, That should make it a bigger storm but lower wind speed
 
The unfortunate problem is that even if Milton's wind speeds "weaken" it to Category 4 or 3 at landfall, it's still going to be bringing a "category 5" storm surge which would be catastrophic for the Tampa Bay area.
 
QUICK ASK -- Please put the more POLITICAL Milton posts on the Helene & Milton political thread and let's try to keep this one more informational. I know it is hard to separate. THANKS.

 
Zoo_View said:
Why is Milton forecasted to weaken before making landfall?

Also, in terms of forecasting, yesterday or the day before it was forecasted to become a Cat. 3 at the top end……today, it’s a 175 mph Cat. 5.
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First, I'm not a meteorologist. I've been following a thread of meteorologists discussing this. They are discussing shear, dry air, and other factors. Based on my limited knowledge, I'm assuming there is a wind stream of drier air that is projected to interact with the storm and disrupt it. It makes the storm weaker, but larger.
 
A friend just texted as they are trying to evacuate the Tampa area. Traffic is awful and gas stations are already running out of fuel. He is trying to get to a family house in Georgia. ETA 1am, he has 3/4 of a tank currently. Hoping to find gas close to the FL/GA line (insert bad country song here).
 
The dry air dropping south(which will give NC gorgeous weather this week) is going to get sucked into the hurricane as it approaches Florida and that will weaken it some.
 
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