2024 Pre-Election Political Polls | POLL - Trump would have had 7 point lead over Biden

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Bigs23 said:
Those are good Harris numbers.
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Is Redfield Wilton really red leaning?
It’s interesting if so that these red leaning pollsters are rarely even showing trump leads in important swing states. His behavior indicates his internal polling may be worse
 


This strategy is used to some extent by both sides but does seem prevalent on the Trump side at the moment. In the past, really favorable internal polling has a way of getting “leaked”.
 
uncjhodges said:
Is Redfield Wilton really red leaning?
It’s interesting if so that these red leaning pollsters are rarely even showing trump leads in important swing states. His behavior indicates his internal polling may be worse
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It may be more their results tilt redder than many “neutral” pollsters, rather than a purely ideological red wave type pollster, but they don’t have a great pollster rating.
 
uncjhodges said:
Is Redfield Wilton really red leaning?
It’s interesting if so that these red leaning pollsters are rarely even showing trump leads in important swing states. His behavior indicates his internal polling may be worse
Click to expand...
Yes, they are.

Survey USA is blue leaning, if I recall
 
nycfan said:


This strategy is used to some extent by both sides but does seem prevalent on the Trump side at the moment. In the past, really favorable internal polling has a way of getting “leaked”.
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I’m also seeing a ton of BS messages from MAGA influencers making vague allegations of foreign interference to Kamala’s benefit. There’s nothing to any of it, but they’re clearly trying to amplify the “Dems are Cheating” narrative early and often this year.
 
lawtig02 said:
I’m also seeing a ton of BS messages from MAGA influencers making vague allegations of foreign interference to Kamala’s benefit. There’s nothing to any of it, but they’re clearly trying to amplify the “Dems are Cheating” narrative early and often this year.
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There was the Iranian hack of Trump campaign emails, but that seemed to move on when there's no evidence that anyone with the Biden or Harris campaigns actually took the documents.

But, yeah, we are certainly up for "The Election Is Rigged, Part 3" from Trump & friends in this election.
 
Harvard Kennedy School poll of national Likely Voters aged 18-30

Overall
Harris 64 - 32 Trump (was Biden 56 - 37 Trump)

Favorability (+/-)
Harris: 47/42
Walz: 36/22
Biden: 36/55
Trump: 31/61
Vance: 18/46

Qualities (Harris/Trump)
Empathetic: 49/15
Competent: 46/27
Relatable: 42/18
Honest: 40/18
Strong: 40/33
Patriotic: 34/36
Funny: 29/32
 
quakerdevil said:
Harvard Kennedy School poll of national Likely Voters aged 18-30

Overall
Harris 64 - 32 Trump (was Biden 56 - 37 Trump)

Favorability (+/-)
Harris: 47/42
Walz: 36/22
Biden: 36/55
Trump: 31/61
Vance: 18/46

Qualities (Harris/Trump)
Empathetic: 49/15
Competent: 46/27
Relatable: 42/18
Honest: 40/18
Strong: 40/33
Patriotic: 34/36
Funny: 29/32
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Great numbers for Harris, the only quibble I have is that anyone would say that Drumpf is more patriotic than Kamala. Mfer only loves this country when he's in charge of it.
 
SnoopRob said:
There was the Iranian hack of Trump campaign emails, but that seemed to move on when there's no evidence that anyone with the Biden or Harris campaigns actually took the documents.

But, yeah, we are certainly up for "The Election Is Rigged, Part 3" from Trump & friends in this election.
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That is one Team Trump wants to be careful about. Similarly hacked Clinton emails were widely published and analyzed by the mainstream media in an absolute feeding frenzy for even the most mundane communications, making tremendous fodder for HRC’s opponents. These Trump emails have not been published and I assume Trump (who famously refuses to use email himself) wants to keep it that way. It is easy to make political sausage making look nefarious (even more nefarious than it actually is).
 
farce© said:
I also take issue with the belief that Trump is funny. He does not possess a sense of humor and he is never intentionally funny. We laugh at him, not with him.
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A lot of his fans laugh with him, though.
 
nycfan said:
A lot of his fans laugh with him, though.
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Yes, to a degree. I also believe a degree of it is the spasm of relief his parishioners get from ttump saying the quiet thing out loud. Holding in your bigoted beliefs amidst public settings can be tiresome; then ttump comes along and calls immigrants trash, makes fun of people's disabilities, tells women only a man can protect them, etc. etc.
 
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