2024 Pre-Election Political Polls | POLL - Trump would have had 7 point lead over Biden

[CFordUNC]

 

[1moretimeagain]

Isn't Atlas the one aggregators said they wouldn't use because it's totally off kilter?

I have no idea. The right wing people all cite it as the most accurate poll in 2020, but I’m not familiar with them,

 

[HintonJamesHeel]

The hate for Nate Silver is pretty stupid. The guy takes polls and basically aggregates them. When he says Trump has a 55% chance to win, that’s like saying anyone can win. Why would he say that? Maybe because every poll has it a 1-2 point race. He’s not providing any insight.

 

[lightbluenc]

If him being up just +5 in Iowa and that translates nationwide I’ll take it

 

[uncjhodges]

I have no idea. The right wing people all cite it as the most accurate poll in 2020, but I’m not familiar with them,

i think they’re a brazilian polling outfit

 

[Unc4evet]

 

[Bigs23]

I don’t expect her to take Iowa but am hopeful this a harbinger for those nearby swing states.

 

[lawtig02]

I have no idea. The right wing people all cite it as the most accurate poll in 2020, but I’m not familiar with them,

It’s a Brazilian outfit that doesn’t share its methodology. They don’t have enough history to know if they’re reliable, and nobody knows who’s behind them, although there may be ties to Orban.

 

[Duke Mu]

i think they’re a brazilian polling outfit

Good to see the predictions based on people in the streets of Sao Paolo.

 

[SnoopRob]

I’m unreasonably thrown by your change of avatar.

I'm...sorry?

 

[SnoopRob]

Totally agree with every word of this!

And regarding your first sentence, it ain't the MAGA trolls that worry me if Harris loses. They would be the absolute literal least of my concern. I'd be wayyyyyy more afraid of @SnoopRob , @rodoheel , @HeelingAg , and others on our team!

I won't speak for others, but there's little chance I'll lose my mind on anyone here if Trump wins. I might have a meltdown but it likely won't be directed at anyone.

(Well, unless it's shown that a specific left-of-center group would be responsible for costing Dems the WH for the second time in three elections. That might push me over the edge. But let's hope it doesn't come to that in any way, shape, or form.)

 

[Zoo_View]

At least have good Champagne handy!

 

[Focker]

 

[nycfan]

If the Iowa poll is true, and the election ends up being not even close, it may actually make the MAGATS double down on the cheating accusations, because they’ll say there’s no way she won by that much.


But I guess they are going to do that no matter what, so bring it on I guess

That poll could be true and Trump could max out the margin of error + run the table with undecideds enough to still win Iowa by a healthy margin.

 

[nycfan]

 

[nycfan]

 

[LosPollosHermanos]

hahahahah that is spectacular (and accurate)

If Harris wins I'm drinking something better than Korbel.

 

[Duke Mu]

That is a ground game.

 

[SnoopRob]

That is a ground game.

 

[akillesheel]

If this turns out to be right, then all the progressives complaining about Kamala working with Liz Cheney need to STFU. For a very long time.

i'm one of them and will happily eat my crow if Kamala wins on the backs of former/never-Trump Republicans. i just can't really get over how little the Lincoln Project actually ended up mattering in 2020. I don't trust Republican voters to not vote for Republicans, and to in fact vote for a Black woman Dem, until I see it happen.

ettinger tweeting a joke like this is a big deal to me. feel like he'd be much more likely to be a doomer who avoided tempting fate at all costs.