2024 Pre-Election Political Polls | POLL - Trump would have had 7 point lead over Biden
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superrific
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He does it both ways, in effect. % win of simulations conveys information like median. Average EV is mean.
1moretimeagain
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Mulberry Heel
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There was another poll taken about three weeks or so ago that had her leading Trump in NH by something like 20 points. National polling has actually been fairly steady, but state polls have been all over the place this year.
Which is why the numbers don’t match up. Analytically and logically, he should stick with one method.
superrific
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I'm sure he would say that he's giving more information this way. Also, it makes sense to me.
WaynetheDrain
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OMG, she continues to humiliate herself at every turn.
heelinhell
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As a grandparent I endorse this post
I would love to see.the Commonwealth slap a 10 pointer down in this election.
Bring it Virginia . . . !
Rougemont
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Granny Gap sounds like something you might not want to accidentally Google.
CallMeTyler
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It’s totally tied you guys!
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Wisconsin (and the Upper Peninsula of MI) seems to be the only swing state that faces significant inclement weather tomorrow.
Just under 3.3 million votes were cast in Wisconsin in 2020, so there could be a lot of people who waited to vote on what looks like there will be a very rainy Election Day there.
“… Most polls of Wisconsin—whose 10 electoral votes could prove crucial—reflect a razor-thin race, with Harris leading by just 0.8 points in FiveThirtyEight’s weighted average.
Voter turnout in Wisconsin could be high in November as there are several competitive U.S. House races in the state on the ballot and Republicans are in a tight contest to maintain majority control of the state Assembly, Anthony Chergosky, an assistant professor of political science at University of Wisconsin-La Crosse toldWUWM public radio in Milwaukee.
Waning support for Democratic Sen. Tammy Baldwin in the Wisconsin Senate race is also seen as a warning sign for Democrats as Cook Political Report moved the state from lean Democrat to a toss-up last week after finding her lead over Republican Eric Hovde has shrunk from seven points to two since August, though a Marquette Law School poll, also released last week, still found her with a seven point advantage. …”
www.forbes.com
Just under 3.3 million votes were cast in Wisconsin in 2020, so there could be a lot of people who waited to vote on what looks like there will be a very rainy Election Day there.
“… Most polls of Wisconsin—whose 10 electoral votes could prove crucial—reflect a razor-thin race, with Harris leading by just 0.8 points in FiveThirtyEight’s weighted average.
Voter turnout in Wisconsin could be high in November as there are several competitive U.S. House races in the state on the ballot and Republicans are in a tight contest to maintain majority control of the state Assembly, Anthony Chergosky, an assistant professor of political science at University of Wisconsin-La Crosse toldWUWM public radio in Milwaukee.
Waning support for Democratic Sen. Tammy Baldwin in the Wisconsin Senate race is also seen as a warning sign for Democrats as Cook Political Report moved the state from lean Democrat to a toss-up last week after finding her lead over Republican Eric Hovde has shrunk from seven points to two since August, though a Marquette Law School poll, also released last week, still found her with a seven point advantage. …”
Wisconsin 2024 Trump-Harris Polls: Harris Leads In 5 New Surveys—As Others Show A Near-Tie
Biden flipped Wisconsin in 2020, but it's expected to be close this year.
www.forbes.com
lawtig02
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Aka, women who remember life before Roe.