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That was quite a tease wasn't itSo - WTF happened in Iowa? How was Selzer so far off?
As I said on another thread a while ago the Democratic Party has not in the past and does not currently do a good job reaching out to Latinos or focusing on issues that matter to Latinos when they are in office. This failure has left this group open to predatory tactics by the republicans (Bush actually seemed to want to accomplish some meaningful goals with respect to Latinos).Oh yeah this was a big red wave
Now the county will find out. Our credit rating should be reduced soon
People lie about who they're voting for. Tons of R's just keep it a secret or tell you what you want to hear. They are insanely good at this.So - WTF happened in Iowa? How was Selzer so far off?
I couldn't have been more completely wrong about how the secret vote would go.People lie about who they're voting for. Tons of R's just keep it a secret or tell you what you want to hear. They are insanely good at this.
If that's the case - and it very well could be - then polls are completely useless. Polls only work if those polled are honest.People lie about who they're voting for. Tons of R's just keep it a secret or tell you what you want to hear. They are insanely good at this.
I don't think we'll see a woman come out of the Dem primary anytime soon unfortunately.Polls weren't really that wrong it seems.
Nate silver (ugh) was right that the swings would largely go all together.
But honestly what is the Democrat party now? It's gotta change.
I guess most were within the MOE. Iowa was not, which I feel is what really kickstarted the Hopium here.Polls weren't really that wrong it seems.
Nate silver (ugh) was right that the swings would largely go all together.
But honestly what is the Democrat party now? It's gotta change.
Oh, I think we might have a variety of Dem candidates. The Putins of the world always need wilting competition, and what’s better than one’s that occasionally stir the soul of small and defined groups? What I don’t think we’ll see is a free and fair election for the remainder of most of our lives (to be clear, I think this was a legit election).I don't think we'll see a woman come out of the Dem primary anytime soon unfortunately.
The polls were wrong.Polls weren't really that wrong it seems.
Nate silver (ugh) was right that the swings would largely go all together.
But honestly what is the Democrat party now? It's gotta change.
Hopefully the Mid Terms will be a big plusThe polls were wrong.
There is no change possible. Trump has promised everything. You can't compete with that. You just have to wait until it all falls apart and then try to pick up the pieces, if we're ever allowed.
Hopefully the Mid Terms will be a big plus
There’s also the idea that a bunch of Biden supporters just sat out the election. I wonder how many “likely voters” told pollsters that they would vote and then didn’t feel the need.Hopefully the Mid Terms will be a big plus
I think that's the thing. People naturally cling to the polls they like and reject the polls they don't. But in general the polls did a pretty decent job. Not as good as the betting markets but still pretty good.Polls weren't really that wrong it seems.
Nate silver (ugh) was right that the swings would largely go all together.
But honestly what is the Democrat party now? It's gotta change.
Not even an idea - Trump is getting fairly the same # of votes as last time. Harris dropped off massively from Biden. People stayed home.There’s also the idea that a bunch of Biden supporters just sat out the election. I wonder how many “likely voters” told pollsters that they would vote and then didn’t feel the need.
Well the hell with themNot even an idea - Trump is getting fairly the same # of votes as last time. Harris dropped off massively from Biden. People stayed home.