superrific
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This is unreal. If that Iowa poll is even close to accurate, the election is over.
2024 Pre-Election Political Polls | POLL - Trump would have had 7 point lead over Biden
- Thread starter nycfan
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That Iowa poll floored me.
Yeah trump was up 18 in June holy cow.
And she didn’t even need to campaign there!
RockyMtnHoo
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One of the (several) things I would change about our election system is POTUS, Senate & House rules should be the same across the board…not different rules for every state. For state/local elections do it however you want but 50 states shouldn’t have 40 different ways of collecting/counting votes for national races.
uncjhodges
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the concerns about herding was the shot and the selzer poll is the chaser
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Ha probably so, but there is truly not anything in the entire world that could possibly bother me less than trolls on an internet message board trying to trash talk me.
You’re awesome! Blue wave incoming!
quakerdevil
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I will also say that poll workers here in Ohio are registering a much higher turnout for early voting than anticipated, especially with how hard our officials have made early voting in person.
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And you’ll be so mad about it!
By the way, have you figured out whether you’re identifying as a man or by a woman today? Just want to make sure I can keep them straight.
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DougDaBroadcasta
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If that Iowa poll is accurate, we actually might know who our next president is on Election Night.
Chuck Todd said it best--If Pennsylvania and NC go to the same candidate, it's all but a wrap.
Chuck Todd said it best--If Pennsylvania and NC go to the same candidate, it's all but a wrap.
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If the Iowa poll is true, and the election ends up being not even close, it may actually make the MAGATS double down on the cheating accusations, because they’ll say there’s no way she won by that much.
But I guess they are going to do that no matter what, so bring it on I guess
But I guess they are going to do that no matter what, so bring it on I guess
superrific
Master of the ZZLverse
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1. Seltzer is a gold standard. Might she be off? Yes. But Trump won Iowa by 8 in 2020. If her poll is even 6 points wrong, Trump +3 is a huge degradation from his 2020 performance and probably means his goose is cooked.
2. I just don't think she is going to be wrong by 10 points. I mean, all that woman does is poll Iowa. She's the sole A+ graded pollster by 538. As of 2019, 538 was calling her "the best pollster in America." So yeah, she could be off, but in this environment, Trump should be at least +8.
3. That Wisconsin poll was a landline poll during the pandemic, when liberals were staying home with nothing much to do except maybe answer polls, whereas conservatives were out and about. I don't think is going to be comparable.