Welcome to our community

Be apart of something great, join today!

2024 Pre-Election Political Polls | POLL - Trump would have had 7 point lead over Biden

  • Thread starter Thread starter nycfan
  • Start date Start date
  • Replies: 6K
  • Views: 183K
  • Politics 
David Plouffe was on Pod Save America and I know he is not a neutral voice, but in a nutshell he says this is a margin of error race; believes the public polling is not worth listening to; says he would rather be "us than them;" and "our internal polling points to hidden support among anti-Trump Republicans. "
 
For me, Harris 270-268 is a terrible scenario…arguably worst case.

If Trump fairly gets 270+ it would be awful, but the will of the people will have spoken. If Harris gets 270 exactly it will go to the Courts, and I have no faith this SCOTUS will do the right thing…especially if one state can swing the results.

I say worst case because Harris will have fairly won, but it literally could be stolen. That’s when you could/would potentially see violence from the Left.
 
David Plouffe was on Pod Save America and I know he is not a neutral voice, but in a nutshell he says this is a margin of error race; believes the public polling is not worth listening to; says he would rather be "us than them;" and "our internal polling points to hidden support among anti-Trump Republicans. "
He's not neutral at all

But he sure knows what he's doing and he tends to not bs things
 
For me, Harris 270-268 is a terrible scenario…arguably worst case.

If Trump fairly gets 270+ it would be awful, but the will of the people will have spoken. If Harris gets 270 exactly it will go to the Courts, and I have no faith this SCOTUS will do the right thing…especially if one state can swing the results.

I say worst case because Harris will have fairly won, but it literally could be stolen. That’s when you could/would potentially see violence from the Left.
Harris winning is better than trump winning under any circumstance.

The Pubs stealing it after losing is still more unlikely than likely.
 
Harris winning is better than trump winning under any circumstance.

The Pubs stealing it after losing is still more unlikely than likely.
It becomes less likely the larger the EC margin. We’re already at a point where the Dem nominee needs to win the popular vote by at least 4%. Throw in a SCOTUS that is 6-3 with half of those 6 appointed by Trump, and 2 that weren’t being arguably the worst/most biased Justices ever, and I won’t assume a win is safe if a single state can swing things.
 
It becomes less likely the larger the EC margin. We’re already at a point where the Dem nominee needs to win the popular vote by at least 4%. Throw in a SCOTUS that is 6-3 with half of those 6 appointed by Trump, and 2 that weren’t being arguably the worst/most biased Justices ever, and I won’t assume a win is safe if a single state can swing things.
Dem might not have to win the PV by as much going forward to win the EC anymore if racial depolarization continues its trend.
 
I'm starting to get the sinking feeling that the 2024 electoral map is going to look at lot like the 2016 electoral outcome ...
 
Agreed.

If Trump loses, his supporters will engage in violence to punish their perceived enemies for thwarting the will of the people.

If Trump wins, his supporters will engage in violence to punish their perceived enemies for attempting to thwart the will of the people.
Liberal minded folks need to seriously consider gun ownership, if they don't have guns already.

Mind you, this is if you believe in protecting yourself against violence with violence (or the threat thereof) vs peaceful resistance. If we're talking a ttump presidency, firearm ownership is unlikely to matter as ttump will militarize many cities (whether further militarization of cops or actual military), and any resistance you offer will be futile. However, if ttump loses he WILL overtly promote vigilant/militia/supremacy terrorism against the liberal "vermin" who "stole your country from you". There will be hundreds, if not thousands, of incidents where known, or perceived, liberals will have violence perpetrated upon them and their homes.
 
Back
Top